2028 ИЗМЕНИТ ВСЁ? ЧТО НАС ЖДЁТ ДАЛЬШЕ | КОНСТАНТИН ДАРАГАН

Summary (Konstantin Daragan)

1) The world is entering a long, chaotic transition (20–30 years)

Daragan frames the current period as a historic turning point, occurring in cycles that resemble major shifts every few centuries. He describes it as a multi-cycle astrological change (contrasting it with the “era of Aquarius”), arguing that it is disrupting existing political, economic, and ideological systems.

He also claims this instability will not be short-lived: major crises and “hot spots” should remain a new normal for at least 15–20 years.

2) Conflict drivers: ideology clash + breakdown of the old “one-pole” order

He argues wars and coups are driven by the replacement of the existing global order—including in the ideological sphere.

Key idea:

• The world is moving away from a single global center (“one-pole”) model.
• Instead, there is a transition toward multiple power centers—groups of states with comparable technological and military capacity.
• This shift produces more situational alliances rather than stable, long-term blocs.

3) Europe will not remain uniform; Schengen may effectively fracture

Daragan suggests Europe is already trending toward internal fragmentation:

• Countries may become less “homogeneous.”
• Borders could tighten, and Schengen disruption plus migrant flows are cited as early indicators.

He further predicts that Europe will likely diverge into different political trajectories:

• Some parts oriented toward interaction with Russia / post-Soviet space
• Others toward different Western/Atlantic alignments

Overall, Europe would not function as a single unified center.

4) NATO–Russia escalation is likely to intensify, especially in the late 2020s

Using his astrological framework, he argues the probability of direct clashes involving NATO and Russia will rise, with a peak in the late 2020s (around 28–29 years in his scheme) and another surge in the early 2030s.

He does not present this as a clean “end point.” Instead, he expects:

• continued crisis dynamics
• gradual escalation

He also highlights several “pressure points,” especially:

• Ukraine as a focal theater
• Kaliningrad
• Far East / Japan as a separate strategic risk area

5) Ukraine as a tool (“consumable”) in a broader confrontation

Daragan repeatedly argues that Ukraine is being used to serve external interests—particularly to weaken Russia through prolonged warfare, drones, and attrition.

He also claims that Ukraine’s leadership is motivated by:

• personal and elite incentives
• alignment with external backers

6) Possible forms of conflict and nuclear-escalation logic

He suggests that a direct NATO–Russia clash is unlikely to remain conventional indefinitely. If escalation reaches a certain threshold, it could involve:

• nuclear use or
• nuclear signaling

He mentions possibilities such as:

• tactical nuclear deployment and/or
• limited nuclear demonstrations as escalation-control or deterrence measures.

At the same time, he states that the likelihood of a direct NATO invasion of Russia is “absurd/very low,” emphasizing instead:

• indirect confrontation
• raids
• hybrid methods

7) Economic and technological transformation parallels political upheaval

A major part of the video focuses on technology and economics, arguing that political turbulence parallels economic restructuring driven by:

• AI / neural networks
• remote work
• layoffs
• retraining

The thesis presented is that AI-related skills will become increasingly valuable, and labor markets will restructure significantly in the coming years.

8) Internal vulnerability is a major threat theme

Beyond external war risks, Daragan emphasizes the danger of internal conflict within Russia, including:

• elite adaptation difficulties
• sabotage
• propaganda effects
• economic-political strain

He also references the possibility of destabilization via effects such as drones/intimidation directed at internal stability.

9) Autumn 2026: no “catastrophic” domestic breakdown, but continued pressure

When asked about autumn/end of 2026, he claims:

• No mass mobilization
• No default
• Possible constraints on deposits/cash, described as not strongly indicated but “could appear”
• More raids and disruptions, potentially including:
  • gasoline price pressures
  • intermittent power/incident-type problems depending on region, especially near front areas

He also suggests that by late 2026 there may be an important stage/turning point related to the Donbass front and developments resembling ultimatum logic, while stressing forecasting uncertainty.

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Presenters / contributors

• Konstantin Daragan — astrologer, publicist, teacher; candidate of philosophical sciences; Associate Professor