Траур в Новороссийске | Арест Буданова* | Лавров приговорил Украину | Морского перемирия не будет

Main points of the broadcast (news + commentary)

Mourning in Novorossiysk after a strike

• The city declared a day of mourning after a Ukrainian drone strike on a residential building.
• 4 people died (including a child) and 29 were injured.
• Entertainment events were cancelled, and flags were flown at half-mast.

Escalation / no path to negotiations (Russia’s framing)

• The program argues that negotiations will not be meaningful, citing Russia’s position.
• It portrays Ukrainian officials as unwilling or unsafe to participate.
• A key claim is that arrest in absentia removes a Ukrainian negotiator from future talks.

Budanov’s in absentia arrest as a major negotiation obstacle

• The Moscow City Court upheld the in absentia arrest of Kirill Budanov (listed as a terrorist by Russia).
• Presenters emphasize that if Budanov were detained/extradited, he would be immediately brought to court, so he cannot safely attend negotiations.
• A contributor adds that the accusations include more than “terrorism,” also prohibited methods of warfare, which Russia says will strengthen its position in any settlement process.

Possible Russia–Ukraine–US trilateral talks location

• The broadcast claims trilateral negotiations may take place in the UAE (Abu Dhabi) (no dates given).
• The takeaway presented: Budanov being “removed” may be directly tied to his arrest risk if entering a third country.

Turkey and the grain deal: negotiations blocked

• The Russian Foreign Ministry is said to have rebuffed Turkey’s efforts to broker a new grain deal.
• Russia’s stance is presented as: “no more grain deals” and that returning to a previous Black Sea arrangement is unacceptable.
• Russia also rejects a moratorium on attacks on ships in the Black Sea, claiming it cannot be enforced.

Black Sea shipping and “leverage” through the Montreux Convention

• The program argues Turkey is trying to preserve influence over the Black Sea straits under the 1936 Montreux Convention, while Western actors resent this.
• Additional commentary alleges Turkey profits financially from weapons sales to Ukraine, while facing consequences for Turkish shipowners—framed as a political embarrassment for Erdoğan.

Lavrov on Ukraine’s “lost legitimacy”

• Lavrov is cited claiming Russia has de facto withdrawn international recognition of Ukraine as a legitimate state actor.
• The argument given is that Ukraine violated 1990 sovereignty principles, including:
  • non-nuclear status,
  • non-aligned status,
  • protection/rights of national minorities (including Russian-speaking populations).
• The broadcast adds examples of alleged language oppression and references an “investigation” by a Ukrainian language ombudsman.

Economic pressure: exports “bottleneck” and worsening deficits

• An economic analyst claims Ukraine’s economy is in a “deplorable” state, with major harm to energy and metallurgy.
• The program argues Ukraine’s main export “valve” (grain) is effectively shut due to sea export constraints:
  • exports growing only about 1%,
  • while imports rise significantly.
• European support is framed as debt and refinancing mechanisms that ultimately return money to Europe.

German complaint to Zelensky

• The broadcast says Germany’s foreign minister rebuked Zelensky over too few orders placed with German military enterprises.
• This is framed as ensuring that aid cycles money back to German taxpayers/industry.

Attacks on logistics/cross-border infrastructure

• The program highlights strikes on a checkpoint/infrastructure on the Ukrainian–Moldovan border (Odessa region), claiming:
  • it was repeatedly attacked,
  • the checkpoint’s operation was suspended.
• A military expert argues that attacking logistics is key under the laws of war.
• The expert also claims Russia will strike border crossings used for weapons supply—presented as Russia’s response to earlier Ukrainian attacks on Russian logistics.

Disinformation / information war claims

• The presenters criticize Western media (e.g., citing the Guardian and others) for allegedly:
  • omitting Ukraine’s role in striking warehouses,
  • portraying Russia as exclusively responsible for food shortages.
• They describe this as part of a broader “war of meanings” and information manipulation.

Ukraine supermarket “empty shelves” anecdote

• A local observation is cited: in Odessa supermarkets, shelves that should supposedly hold staple food items were shown filled with alcohol/beer.
• The presenters use this as an example of worsening scarcity.

Interactive poll conclusion

Viewers were asked whether negotiations with Ukraine are likely:

• 64%: no negotiations (signals are clear)
• 19%: negotiations likely but without Budanov
• 16%: negotiations likely

Presenters / contributors

• Anton (host/primary speaker; name not explicitly stated in the subtitles)
• Natalia Demeshka (commentator/interlocutor)
• Sergei Lavrov (referenced)
• Vladimir Putin (referenced)
• Dmitry Artyukhov (referenced)
• Mikhail Belyaev (economic observer, TAS analytical center)
• Alexey Zhivov (military expert)
• Andrei Kravchenko (mayor of Novorossiysk; referenced)
• Alexander Stub / “Stup” (President of Finland; referenced)