Video summary
Top 29 Stocks in 2026! High Growth, Low Valuation Opportunities | Dont miss this - Rahul Jain
Main summary
Key takeaways
Investing style / concept (GARP)
- GARP (Growth at Reasonable Price): combine growth (EPS expansion) with value/valuation discipline using a “reasonable valuation” approach based on PEG.
- Source/origin cited: Peter Lynch.
Data source / tool used
- TickerTape (including mention of TickerTape Pro).
- The screener output is presented as methodology, not a direct buy list.
Step-by-step stock shortlisting methodology (as demonstrated)
-
Start with a large universe
- Go to TickerTape screener → Indian stocks.
- Remove existing filters (e.g., close price, P/E ratio, returns, etc.).
-
Filter by size (liquidity/scale proxy)
- Market cap > 5,000 crores
- Result shown: ~854 stocks
-
Filter by profitability quality
- ROE (Return on Equity) > 15%
- Result shown: ~377 stocks
-
Filter by EPS growth (multi-horizon)
- Growth is defined specifically as EPS growth rate, using three filters:
- 5-year historical EPS growth rate > 10%
- 1-year historical EPS growth rate > 10%
- 1-year forward EPS growth rate > 10%
- Result shown: ~98 stocks
- Forecast caution:
- Forward EPS growth is an estimate (not guaranteed).
- TickerTape/analysts provide high / median / low scenarios.
- The screener’s forward growth uses the median base case (example stock shown: High 25.38% / Median 12.92% / Low 2.01%).
- Growth is defined specifically as EPS growth rate, using three filters:
-
Create/compute a “reasonable valuation” metric using PEG
- Defines PEG = (P/E) / (EPS growth rate).
- Since no direct PEG filter is available, a custom filter is built:
- P/E ratio ÷ 1-year forward EPS growth rate
- Target “reasonable” valuation range:
- Forward PEG between 0 and 2
- Result shown: ~50 stocks
-
Portfolio construction / concentration caution (sector-level)
- If the approach causes heavy exposure to a sector (example: IT or two-wheelers), avoid concentration beyond existing portfolio weight.
- He suggests not going above if already around ~20–25% in that sector.
-
Rank within the shortlist (additional diligence needed)
- Sort by lower PEG first (lower PEG = “better” under this logic).
- Warning: don’t buy blindly—must understand why valuations are low.
-
Deep-dive “why it’s cheap” checks (illustrative example: NMDC Ltd.)
- Example selected: NMDC Limited (explicitly not a recommendation).
- Suggested workflow:
- Optionally ignore price points initially (technical analysis later).
- Review sentiment / con-call summary (June 2026 con-call mentioned).
- Distinguish short-term valuation pressure vs long-term drivers.
- Example issue described:
- Valuation fell due to a one-off trading/profitability consolidation hit
- EBITDA margin down from 42% to 33%
- Guidance aims to restore EBITDA ~42–43% for FY27
-
Fundamental and risk checks (illustrative framework)
- Tailwind/strategy validation:
- Demand relevance and industry outlook.
- Capex and execution:
- NMDC example: planned capex ~40,000 to 50,000 crores over the next 2–3 years
- Production target aspiration:
- Target by 2030: ~100 million tons
- Production referenced:
- 2025: ~45 million tons
- He also highlights incremental production pace vs historical pace:
- historically adding ~10m tons over ~10–20 years
- versus aiming ~10m tons per year over the next ~5 years
- Cash flow discipline:
- Emphasizes cash flow analysis
- Avoid companies where operating cash flow is consistently negative
- Valuation cross-check:
- Ensure the company trades below its median on P/E and P/B
- He also mentions checking PEG, P/E, P/B, median P/E, median P/B
- Tailwind/strategy validation:
-
Optional tightening of filters
- Example: tighten PEG range from 0–2 to PEG ≤ 1.5
- Result shown: reduces from 50 to ~29 companies
Key numbers & thresholds explicitly stated
- Market cap: > 5,000 crores → ~854
- ROE: > 15% → ~377
- EPS growth:
- 5Y historical > 10%
- 1Y historical > 10%
- 1Y forward > 10%
- → ~98
- Forward PEG filter:
- 0 to 2
- → ~50
- Tighter PEG example:
- PEG ≤ 1.5
- → ~29
- Forecast illustration (median base case):
- High 25.38% / Median 12.92% / Low 2.01%
- NMDC example (not a recommendation):
- EBITDA margin: 42% → 33%
- Management target: EBITDA 42–43% for FY27
- Capex: ~40,000–50,000 crores in next 2–3 years
- Production target:
- ~100 million tons by 2030
- ~45 million tons in 2025
Disclosures / disclaimers
- Presenter stated as a SEBI registered research analyst.
- Repeated caution:
- Not a buy/sell recommendation
- Don’t blindly buy screened stocks
- Screener results change over time because prices, P/E, and EPS estimates change
- Forecast disclaimer:
- Forward EPS growth is not guaranteed; based on analyst estimates/consensus scenarios.
Tickers / companies mentioned
- NMDC Limited
- Used as an illustrative deep-dive example only; explicitly “not a recommendation at all.”
Presenters / sources
- Rahul Jain / Rahul Jan (presenter; SEBI-registered research analyst credential claimed)
- Peter Lynch (credited for the GARP concept/methodology reference)