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Market Beat Monday: Big Tech rebound, AI infrastructure, and Iran relief

Market Beat Monday opened with a market rebound led by big tech and “AI infrastructure” names. The move was largely attributed to relief from Iran-related news. Hosts then shifted to a rapid rundown of specific stock movers across multiple sectors—software, space, robotics, crypto/AI pivots, biotech, uranium/nuclear, mining, and other speculative plays—followed by a brief look ahead to an upcoming Fed meeting and the new Fed chair’s approach.

Main market takeaways (today’s action)

  • Market broadly rallied (“mostly green”): Major tech and AI/chip names (Nvidia, AMD, and “Mag 7”) advanced by multiple percentage points.
  • Relief effect from Iran news: Thomas suggested the gains reflected easing near-term headwinds and provided an “all-clear,” supporting broader risk appetite.
  • Sector divergence:
    • Energy lagged (red): Chris tied weakness to oil falling toward ~$80 after Iran-related deal headlines.
    • Industrials/financials mixed-to-strong: With energy down, other areas of the economy showed more resilience.

Big Tech / AI infrastructure focus

  • Micron (MU) surged (~11%) and was framed as having significant upside:
    • Thomas argued long-term forecasts are too low versus current and near-term demand.
    • He emphasized robust near-term GPU/data center demand, strong HBM memory pricing/power, and expectations that HBM supply could remain constrained through next year.
    • Claim: based on valuation and forecast revisions, MU could potentially double.
  • AI rally has further runway:
    • Chris/Thomas discussed the shift from training to inference/application phases, implying ongoing buildout.
    • For similar AI infrastructure names (including AMD and others like Nebius), Thomas suggested remaining upside—but argued Micron offers the most favorable leverage to HBM demand relative to other GPU components.

Software sector: “hold vs cut” (Zscaler, Salesforce, ServiceNow)

  • Zscaler (Zscaler) was weak:
    • Thomas said it’s struggling versus other cybersecurity stocks that rebounded.
    • The core issue was company-specific: weaker guidance plus an executive/sales leadership shakeup (lost key sales players).
  • Turnaround thesis later in the year:
    • Thomas argued Zscaler could rebound once it stabilizes sales execution and shows improved traction.
    • For Salesforce and ServiceNow, hosts said selling pressure looked similar (sector malaise), but the group hadn’t rebounded as quickly—so the case still required catalysts from future earnings.
  • Trading discipline advice:
    • Hosts emphasized using risk controls/limit or trigger levels for speculative positions and waiting for a confirming signal to re-enter after being stopped out.
  • Entry-point view:
    • Thomas indicated stocks near the bottom of their 52-week ranges with analyst/institutional support may offer limited downside if investors accept speculative timing risk.

Space theme: SpaceX-driven momentum and spillover

  • SpaceX (second day of trading) continued strong:
    • Chris said bulls “picked up the baton,” with the stock up around ~20%.
    • He described it as a story stock drawing attention rather than a fast-moving “fundamental reset.”
  • Broader space sector lagging:
    • Chris argued other space-related stocks may not recover meaningfully until the next earnings window (mid-July), because SpaceX is “taking oxygen out of the room.”
  • Notable exception / relative proxies:
    • Rocket Lab and AS/Space Mobile were highlighted as comparatively better, framed as the closest proxies to SpaceX (launch + satellite angle).

Other spotlighted stocks and sector themes

Robotics

  • Kraken Robotics:
    • Thomas framed it as a defense/undersea drone components play with support around the $5 area.
    • He described a possible “launch pad” for the next rally if news/earnings improve.
  • Serve Robotics:
    • Despite robotics demand, Thomas emphasized execution problems (quality/scalability), widening losses, and cash burn, plus high short interest—expecting continued pressure without improved traction.
  • ETFs vs individual stocks:
    • Hosts discussed robotics ETFs for broad exposure when it’s hard to identify the winner, noting individual stocks can still outperform.

Crypto/AI infrastructure pivots

  • CleanSpark (CLSK):
    • Positioned within a broader narrative shifting from bitcoin mining to infrastructure/AI-energy.
    • Short interest and bitcoin sensitivity were flagged as key drivers of volatility.
  • Keel (KEEL):
    • Framed similarly to “Iron”/mining-to-infrastructure pivots: monetizing constrained power capacity for hyperscalers/data centers.
    • Key difference: Keel initially lacks contracts like Iron, making it a “younger brother” with more uncertainty—but with potential upside.

Biotech surge

  • RGNT (Regentis Biioaterials) jumped over 500%:
    • Chris attributed the move to a withdrawn public share offering (reducing dilution risk).
    • Also pointed to preparations for European commercialization of its hydrogel cartilage therapy and ongoing Phase 3 trial progress.

Uranium/nuclear supply chain: long-dated catalysts

  • LEU (Centrus Energy) and UUU / “Energy Fuels” (Energy Fuels):
    • Hosts described this as a 2+ year story, because reactor fuel demand depends on reactor deployment schedules.
    • Very bullish price targets were framed as already pricing in long-term ramp assumptions; near-term performance may hinge on retail sentiment and short interest.
    • Mentions included other nuclear names (SMR, Oaklo) as sector-tracked plays with histories of large run-ups followed by drawdowns.

Mining / rare materials

  • HBM (Hud Bay Minerals):
    • Chris described mining catalysts as multi-year (copper/gold/silver) and noted bullish analyst skew, while acknowledging mining volatility.
  • United States Antimony (U.S. Antimony):
    • Thomas highlighted production and revenue ramps plus a potential squeeze dynamic from high short interest (20%+), with profitability progress and execution potentially supporting upside.

“Value” but risky: NUS and other small speculative plays

  • NUS (Newkin):
    • Thomas warned of multi-level marketing/scam risk, extended declines, and dividend cut risk—arguing cheap valuation metrics (like P/E) weren’t enough to justify a buy.
  • LAES (Seal/Sels Corp):
    • Presented as a speculative semiconductor/security embedding technology play (future-proofing/security relevance to advanced threats).
    • Risks include being a small company with cash burn, limited institutional backing, and low analyst coverage—implying expected volatility and careful position sizing.

Healthcare / animal health

  • ZTS (Zoetis):
    • Thomas said the stock is under pressure due to a weak earnings report, missed top and bottom lines, and reduced guidance.
    • He noted some investors may be hoping for dividend support and a rebound, but near-term fundamentals are not “clean.”

Macro: Fed meeting ahead

Hosts expected no rate change, focusing instead on signals about where the new Fed chair (Warsh) is headed. The key expectation: insight may come through statements/remarks rather than policy moves, with emphasis on transparency, balance sheet direction, and forward-looking indicators.

Presenters / contributors

  • Thomas Hughes (MarketBeat analyst)
  • Chris Marcotch (MarketBeat analyst)

Original video