2023 ICT Mentorship - ICT Silver Bullet Time Based Trading Model

Main ideas / concepts / lessons

• Purpose of the video: Presents the creator’s ICT “Silver Bullet” time-based algorithmic trading model, intended to work across all asset classes.
• Core prerequisite: Before entries/exits, traders must be able to identify the next “draw on liquidity” (where price is most likely to go next).
• Why the model uses time windows: The setup is based on a repeatable 60-minute interval that forms every trading day, giving a rule-based framework for analysis.
• “Forgiving” entries/exits: The model is designed so you don’t need perfect entry or perfect exit every time; the key is capturing trades within a reasonable expected movement framework.
• Liquidity draw concept: Price is expected to expand toward pools such as:
  • Buy-side liquidity (e.g., above prior highs where buy stops may sit)
  • Sell-side liquidity (e.g., below prior lows where sell stops may sit)

Tick/Pip/point framework (minimum trade range)

The creator emphasizes minimum movement requirements to qualify a setup as viable (described as “framework,” i.e., the expected total move potential from the best-case price delivery range, not necessarily the exact realized entry-to-exit).

For index futures / indices

• Minimum framework:
  • 10 points or 10 handles
  • Equivalence stated: 10 points ≈ 4 ticks
• Another equivalence mentioned:
  • 5 handles is treated as equivalent to 10 pips in Forex terms.

For Forex

• Minimum framework:
  • 15 pips (minimum required framework)
• Equivalence guidance:
  • 10 handles in indices ≈ 20 pips in Forex
  • 5 handles in indices ≈ 10 pips in Forex

Practical implication of the framework

• If you cannot identify a potential range move at least to these minima (e.g., <15 pips in Forex), the trade is likely not high probability and should be skipped or replaced by another opportunity.

“Draw on liquidity” / target pool types (setup conditions)

The video lists multiple sources for draw-on-liquidity possibilities. Not all will appear daily; the trader’s job is to determine which one is most likely next given current price action.

Draw on liquidity can be:

• Previous day high / low
  • If bullish: expect expansion toward buy-side liquidity above yesterday’s high.
  • If bearish: expect expansion toward sell-side liquidity below yesterday’s low.
• London session highs/lows (used in relation to AM)
  • Example: during the AM session in New York, look at the London session high/low and expect a potential run/retest into that liquidity.
• Previous week high / low
  • Bullish: run above previous week high
  • Bearish: run below previous week low
• Current or old weekly opening gap
  • Treated as a draw/expansion target away from the gap (current or prior week opening gap).
• Inefficiencies / Fair Value Gap (FVG) variants
  • The video argues FVG has become central (“took the throne”) versus a “flagship pattern” framing.
  • Bullish case:
    • Look for an inefficiency above current price action, potentially including:
      • CIVI or sell-side imbalance (SSI)-type efficiencies
      • Buy-side fair value gap formations above price
  • Bearish case:
    • Look for an inefficiency below current price action, including:
      • Discount buy-side / sell-side imbalance style conditions
      • Fair value gap below current price action
• General rule stated: The list is intended to give latitude, but on any given day only some criteria will be present.

Time-based ICT Silver Bullet setups (methodology + time windows)

The model is explicitly time-based: each setup is linked to a specific 60-minute interval in New York local time (including daylight savings adjustment).

Global timing rule

• Chart times must be calibrated to New York local time, observing daylight savings where relevant.

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Setup 1: “London Open” Silver Bullet

Time window

• 3:00 a.m. – 4:00 a.m. New York local time

Entry/formation logic (as described)

• Look for a classic ICT fair value gap forming between 3:00 and 4:00.
• Determine the direction by the expected next draw on liquidity:
  • Example described: market bearish with sell-side liquidity below an old swing low.
• The video describes a market structure shift below the low, supporting the idea that price is willing to move into the bearish liquidity pool.
• Optimal Trade Entry concept:
  • Entry is taken inside the 60-minute window (3–4 a.m.).
  • Trade holding period may extend beyond that window.

Expected range (“framework”) mentioned

• For the example:
  • Shorting into the FVG should reasonably offer at least 5 handles (and potentially 10 handles).
• Stop/precision rules concept: A pump above the gap near 4:00 is described as not violating the rules (suggesting the setup tolerates some noise, and entry-to-target logic is more important than perfect precision).

Holding guidance

• Entry derived from the 3–4 a.m. window, but:
  • Trade may be held into 4–5 a.m.
  • In some cases could roll into New York session opening (7–8 a.m.)

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Setup 2: “AM Session” Silver Bullet

Time window

• 10:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. New York local time

Entry/formation logic (as described)

• Conditions emphasized:
  • Market becomes bearish with relative equal lows
  • Sell-side liquidity resting below
  • Bearish fair value gap
• After the bearish FVG forms:
  • Price trades up into the FVG during 10:00–11:00, creating a sell-short opportunity.

Expected range (“framework”) mentioned

• Example evaluation:
  • The depicted move offers at least 10 handles as potential framework.
• Important clarification:
  • It does not mean you must actively target 10 handles.
  • Minimum framework is about whether the setup could produce the required range.
• Trade management idea:
  • Even though the entry is identified within 10–11, trades may still be held longer than that hour.

Profit-capture logic implied

• The example suggests you could collect ~5 handles within the broader context, even if the full 10-handle potential doesn’t play out.

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Setup 3: “PM Session” Silver Bullet

Time window

• 2:00 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. New York local time

Entry/formation logic (as described)

• The market:
  • Moves down into a 15-minute discount fair value gap
  • Then shifts higher
  • Breaks a higher-timeframe swing to the upside (market structure shift)
• Retracements:
  • If price returns back down toward the efficiency/FVG area,
  • Watch for fair value gap respect (bodies staying inside; wicks may “do the damage”).
• A secondary/lower-timeframe pattern described:
  • Around 2:00, a small fair value gap forms.
  • The optimal trade entry is taken when that first FVG forms and reprices between 2:00 and 3:00.

Expected range (“framework”) mentioned

• The example claims:
  • From entry up to the target inefficiency/premium area provides 10+ handles (specifically 12 or more mentioned).
• The trade targets:
  • Run into inefficiency in the premium
  • Buy-side liquidity takeout (relative equal highs / liquidity above)

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Closing thoughts / guidance for learners

• Backtesting required: If new, the creator says you don’t have enough information to trade immediately—you must backtest and learn how to identify:
  • Repricing/price action behavior
  • The next draw on liquidity
• Not “cherry-picked” claim: The creator states these setups occur frequently because they were traded in real time (including calls via Twitter), but they dislike viewers treating signals as automatic trade triggers.
• Consistency goal: The benefit is a repeating 60-minute window each day, meaning one of these setups should form regularly.
• Market specialization advice:
  • Ideally trade only 1 market (or at most 1–2; maybe 3 if “deviant”).
  • Reason: each chosen market should repeatedly produce these setups daily.
• Independence message: The creator encourages students to rely on their own analysis over time rather than needing to return to other models/channels.

Key idea: The model’s framework relies on repeated timing plus liquidity targeting; your job is to recognize whether the next draw on liquidity and minimum movement potential are present.

Speakers / sources featured

• Speaker / source: The YouTube creator/mentor (unnamed in the subtitles) presenting the ICT Silver Bullet Time Based Trading Model.
• Third parties mentioned (but not as speakers):
  • TradingView (used for a messaging system; not a speaker)
  • Twitter/X (platform where the creator claims to post or call setups; not a speaker)
• Named individual (referenced indirectly):
  • Cameron (referred to as “my son Cameron”; not speaking)