البورصة المصرية - تحليل أهم الأسهم و مؤشر EGX30 - برنامج صباح الخير يا بورصة : 19-08-2026

Market / Macro Context & Performance (EGX30)

• The presenter expects a consolidation, then rebound scenario after a price gap was identified and partly/fully addressed.

EGX30 Index

• Key level: 55,000
  • The index dropped to 55,000
  • It closed at 55,276
• Resistance / selling area: around 21,700 (also referenced as 21,900), where selling/pullbacks are occurring.

Indicator signals (as described)

• RSI: approaching overbought
• MSD line: approaching/indicating a negative crossover
• OV: already giving a negative signal

Near-term downside framework (supports)

• First support to retest: 21,500
• If 21,500 breaks → next possible levels: 21,200 / 21,000
• If 21,000 breaks → bearish continuation toward 20,500

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Shariah Index (Mentioned)

• Tested: 6,540 and held
• Closed: 6,600
• Targets:
  • Try 6,700
  • If broken → 7,000

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Stock-Specific Watchlist (Levels & Targets)

(Prices appear in local Egyptian trading units; some subtitles include both whole numbers and piasters.)

Banks / Financials

• CIB

  • Stabilizing above 138
  • Range: 138–140
  • If it breaks 140 → targets 143, then 145

• Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank

  • Closed near 55
  • If it breaks → 56–57

• Al Baraka Bank

  • Tight activity; closed around 23.70
  • Positive outlook: retest target at 24
  • If breaks 24 → 24.5–25

• Qatar National Bank

  • Passed 61 resistance; closed 62.45
  • Tight volumes; continue toward 63
  • If breaks → 65–67

• Citadel

  • Strong execution
  • Resistances cited: 6.75 and 6.60
  • If breaks both → exit the sideways trend
  • Targets: 6 and 6.5

• Fawry

  • Sideways but accumulating
  • Key level: 19.70
  • If breaks 19.70 → breakout; target 20.5

• Emaar Misr

  • Broke 11.70; now near 11.00 (“half support”)
  • If 11.00 breaks → test 11.20, then the 11.00/10.00 area
  • Otherwise: hoped-for rebound from those levels

• IBICO (name appears as “IBICO” in subtitles)

  • Indicator warning: negative divergence between price and RSI
  • MSD negative crossover and OPV negative signal mentioned
  • Emphasis: “pay attention to all these signals” (monitoring/risk emphasis)

Other Sectors / Companies

• Atah

  • Broke 11.20, closed 11.35
  • If breaks → 12

• Kima

  • Held above 14
  • Rebound above 14
  • If breaks → targets 15 and 15.30

• Egypt Chemicals

  • Strong rebound: reached 53.90
  • Previous peak: 53.5 (overtaken)
  • If retest 53 breaks → 55 then 57

• The Medical Center

  • Broke 129, reached 141
  • Retest: 140
  • If full breakout → 150, then 170

• Barda

  • Hit 49 piasters, then cooled
  • Closed at 48 piasters
  • If breaks 49 → 50, then 52

• Asmal Real Estate

  • Passed 34, close to 35, then cooled
  • Accumulation/sideways
  • If breaks 35 → 37 then 40

• Ismailia Poultry

  • Closed after auction at 35.97
  • Broke 36
  • If 36 breaks/holds → 38 then 40

• Education sector stock (unnamed)

  • Key resistance: 74 piasters
  • If breaks 75 piasters → 80 piasters, then 82 piasters

• Orascom Construction

  • Stable above 750
  • Retest 780
  • If breaks 780 → 800

• Disco

  • Rebounded
  • If breaks 35 → 37 then 39

• Heliopolis

  • Supports: 7.30 and 7.00
  • If breaks 7.50 → drop to 7.00, look for bounce

• Ibn Sina Pharma

  • Mentioned as a zone: take 7.00 area

• EIPICO

  • Caution zones: 13.20, 13.00, 12.50
  • If breaks 13.00 → decline to 12.50
  • Mentioned gap at 12.50 to “go down and close it”
  • If 12.00 breaks → further decline; possible reach 10.40
  • Emphasis: monitor 13.20 / 13.00 / 12.50 / 12.00 areas (subtitles appear redundant/unclear)

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Methodology / Framework Used (Technical Analysis Playbook)

• Use price gap logic to guide short-term direction (gap fill expectation).
• Identify support/resistance and plan:
  • If price approaches resistance → expect pullback
  • If support holds → expect rebound
  • If support breaks → project the next downside targets
• Confirm with momentum/indicator signals:
  • RSI: watch for overbought
  • MSD: watch for negative crossover
  • OV/OPV: watch for negative signals
  • Negative divergence (price vs RSI) cited for IBICO as a caution
• A recurring structure is used for individual names: “if breakout then target”.

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Key Recommendations / Cautions (Explicit)

• EGX30: leaning toward rebound, but expect pullback initially (possible retest of 55,000 and index support tests).
• EIPICO: explicit warning to monitor 13.20 / 13.00 / 12.50 / 12.00; breaking levels imply continued decline (potentially toward 10.40).
• IBICO: caution due to negative divergence and other negative indicator signals.
• Fawry: patience requested; accumulation theme; breakout trigger at 19.70.

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Disclosures

• No clear “financial advice / not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the provided subtitles.

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Presenters / Sources

• No specific presenter name is provided in the subtitles (only general “Good morning” / “the presenter” style commentary).
• No external source names are mentioned.