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John Feneck: Gold, Silver and More — 9 Stocks I'm Bullish on for 2026

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Business

Business-Focused Summary (Strategy, Operations, Markets — High Level)

1) 2026 Event Strategy (Investor Access “GTM”)

  • Playbook: build conference channels in high-demand regions

    • John notes the US mining conference market is weak, so he created a South Florida + Washington DC events concept to improve investor attendance.
    • Partnership positioning: he co-builds events near the same time window as other major voices (e.g., Rick Rule) to concentrate audience demand.
  • Execution details

    • Beaver Creek (first conference inspiration): met 30 CEOs in 3 days, used as a model for why conferences work.
    • South Florida event
      • Venue: Four Seasons
      • Rationale: brand-new hotel and oceanfront
      • Dates: May 20–22, 2026
    • Second event: Washington DC
      • Rationale: leverage 25-year relationships with financial advisers and professionals who won’t travel to Canada mining events.
  • Proof point (case study-style)

    • A CEO reported stock outperformance after attending: raised at $0.15, later reaching ~$1.60.
    • John’s stated goal: an environment where investors and companies “thrive”, not a one-sided marketing event.

2) Portfolio Management Approach (Risk Controls + Position Sizing)

  • Largest holding & adjustment discipline

    • Silver is ~16%, described as the largest holding (John corrects the misconception that it’s ~60%).
    • He emphasizes not being forced into constant allocations (contrasting with some ETF/mutual-fund constraints like “invested 80% at all times”).
    • Cash as strategy: he mentions being heavy cash during volatility periods (e.g., 2022–2023 / COVID) and repositioning later.
  • Framework: sell/trim signals using RSI

    • RSI > 80+: start thinking about selling.
    • Example: when a position reached RSI ~91, he sold (he references trimming after a rip; “Beric” is cited as an example).
    • Silver: he indicates he did not sell in the 30s/40s; once above $50, he views it as a “reasonable zone,” while still monitoring RSI.
  • Operational thesis for the silver trade

    • He frames silver as:
      • a catch-up trade vs gold, and
      • part of gold:silver ratio compression (ratio down = silver catching up).
    • He argues gold is stable in a range, while silver breaks higher as shortages and demand narratives intensify.

3) Silver Outlook + “Under-the-Hood” Company Selection

  • Price targets/ranges mentioned

    • 2026 target range: $66–$70
    • Basis: inflation-adjusted framework from 2011–2012 rally levels.
    • He says price action is consistent with this setup.
  • Market signals used (beyond price)

    • Exchange shortages
    • Increased buying by China/India
    • Supplier concentration: he claims only a handful of truly “real” pure silver producers exist
    • Due diligence requirement: if a stock is “silver,” investors must check what it is under the hood (including potential trading/behavior of mixed-exposure companies).
  • Concrete company updates (examples)

    • Black Rock Silver (BKRRF / BKR)

      • Identified 108M ounces of silver equivalent in Nevada
      • Logic: US permitting tailwinds (Trump administration “fasttracking/permitting”)
      • Timeline: ~18 months to a potential construction decision
      • Valuation/price reference: ~$0.60–$0.61; potential retest ~high $0.60s
      • In-ground value logic: ~$1.70–$1.80/ounce dollar value vs $60+ silver price
    • Exelon Resources (EXNRF / EXN)

      • Acquired a silver project in Peru from Buenaventura (BVN)
      • Thesis: restart opportunities—juniors can restart projects at attractive prices when larger operators can’t prioritize
      • Timeline: early production as soon as next year; 43101 report expected imminently
      • Technical reference: trading ~$0.28; breakout area cited at $0.30–$0.31
    • Guanajuato Silver (GSVRF / GSVR)

      • Re-rating: stock moved after a financing/dilution-driven acquisition
      • Earlier financings now viewed as accretive to production profile rather than dilution-for-dilution’s sake
      • Timeline/technical: trading around $0.43, described as the “cusp of breakout”
    • Pure play warning

      • Pan American cited as a caution: about 20–25% silver exposure but functions more like a gold company, so silver performance expectations should be adjusted.

4) Gold Outlook + “Equities Leverage” Allocation Logic

  • Gold price path framework

    • Gold consolidating around $4,000–$4,300
    • Expecting a meaningful break above $4,400 (not necessarily immediately); view is that it happens in 2026
    • He claims many big-bank forecasts call for $4,400–$5,000/oz in 2026 (some even by mid-2026 / “June”).
  • Portfolio construction

    • ~51% of his portfolio in gold stocks (equity leverage vs physical gold)
    • He uses GDX as an external indicator:
      • claims GDX broke through an all-time high meaningfully (interpreted as juniors catching up to majors)
  • Operational/selection discipline

    • Instructs investors to:
      • call companies and ask for a plan in writing for the next 1.5–2 years (not just 3 months),
      • avoid “disorganized” juniors,
      • assess whether marketing strength matches the hot-market environment.

5) Gold Company Watchlist (Examples of Operational Catalysts)

  • Mexico theme via permitting

    • Silver Tiger (SLVTF / ticker mentioned)
      • Permits achieved for open-pit permitting in Mexico; permitting is framed as “alive”
      • Timeline: ~16 months to production at reasonable cost
      • Geographic fit: near the Arizona border (not “deep” or difficult terrain)
  • Australia & partner-funded drilling

    • Inflection Resources (AUF / AU)
      • Thesis: JB partner funding (partner described as Anglo, a top-10 name)
      • Market note: stock hasn’t moved much, but under-the-hood targets look interesting; Australia jurisdiction support
  • Colombia + relationships as an “operational moat”

    • Aurelius/Daenerius? (DNRSF / DM) (name abbreviated in the source)
      • Already producing in Colombia, contrasted as historically hard
      • Chairman’s 20-year local relationships credited for faster permitting/building
      • Backup project in Spain entering production in May next year (~6 months)

6) “Trigger” for the Next Gold Leg (Macro + Policy Narrative)

  • Primary driver framework: Fed policy

    • John argues the Fed will be more accommodative than consensus.
    • He cites labor-market weakness (including deteriorating non-farm payroll revisions and monthly job losses).
  • Catalyst narrative

    • Expects lower rates / easing to support gold and silver.
    • He also suggests leadership transition (Trump naming a successor) will likely produce lower-rate-friendly policy, indirectly supporting precious metals.
    • Discussion: less about QE vs QT because Powell’s role ends soon; the key is who controls policy next.

7) Operational Risk in Equities: Concentration in AI/Tech

  • Broader indices look strong, but “under the hood” gains are concentrated in tech/AI (e.g., Nvidia).
  • Implication: monitor major resistance levels—if AI breaks, it can drag broader tech and risk appetite.

8) “Special Situations” Picks (Execution, Capital Allocation, Insider Alignment)

  • Ankor Resources (N KOF / AK)

    • Catalyst: divest a unit to raise $4.8M; company market cap ~$36M (capital injection is material)
    • Capital deployment: invest into oil production in Cambodia on a 30-year lease
    • Strategic angle: metals+energy optionality (gold/copper + oil)
    • Insider alignment: CEO/GEO/board own a large share—~40%+ of float
  • Power Metallic (PNPNF)

    • Thesis: CEO/partners involved in exposing “naked short sellers/weird stuff”
    • Evidence cited:
      • Chart conditions and insider buying
      • CEO purchased 300,000 shares on Dec 10 (open market)
      • “Strong hands” claim: Terry + ~5 key investors hold ~15–20% of float
    • Technical framework:
      • RSI < 35
      • “Almost always a buy in a strong market” around RSI ~30
  • Geopolitical optionality (high level)

    • Potential catalyst: Russia–Ukraine resolution affecting nickel/platinum/palladium supply chains and explorers exposed to those metals.

Key Metrics & KPIs Explicitly Mentioned

  • Portfolio allocation
    • Silver: ~16% (largest holding)
    • Gold stocks: ~51% of portfolio
  • RSI-based risk control
    • Sell/trim trigger: RSI 80+
    • Example exit: RSI ~91
    • Power Metallic: “buy” near RSI ~30 (RSI < 35)
  • Silver price / target framework
    • 2026 range: $66–$70
    • Technical notes: breakout around $50; earlier failure near ~$54
  • Silver company fundamentals
    • Black Rock Silver: 108M oz silver equivalent, construction timeline ~18 months, stock ~$0.60–$0.61
  • Gold company timelines
    • Silver Tiger: potential production in ~16 months
    • Daenerius: Spain production in May next year (~6 months)
  • Financing/capital allocation
    • Ankor divestment proceeds: $4.8M
    • Ankor market cap: ~$36M
  • Corporate ownership / alignment
    • Sonoro Gold: insiders/board/strong holders >60% of float
    • Ankor: insiders ~40%+ of float
    • Power Metallic: Terry + investors hold ~15–20% of float

Actionable Recommendations (Stated/Endorsed)

  • For investors
    • Use RSI to discipline entries/exits (sell discipline when RSI ≥ 80).
    • Don’t buy “silver” or “gold” tickers blindly—verify exposure under the hood.
    • Call management and demand a 1.5–2 year plan (preferably in writing).
    • Avoid disorganized issuers, especially when marketing execution appears weak.
  • For mining companies (implied criteria)
    • Maintain strong marketing and clearly communicate a credible multi-year execution plan.
    • Align incentives to attract and retain “strong hands,” emphasized via insider ownership/roll-through capital.

Presenters / Sources Mentioned

  • Charlotte Mloud — InvestingNews.com (interviewer)
  • John Feneck (John Fenick) — Portfolio Manager & Consultant, Fenic Consulting (main interviewee)
  • Referenced collaborators/context:
    • Don Durand — YouTube partner mentioned
    • Rick Rule — referenced as an event collaborator/peer

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