Northeast 2050 Climate Forecast

Summary

The video presents a broad outlook for the Northeast in 2050, while noting that climate impacts will vary across the region.

• Snow and seasons: Snowfall is expected to decline substantially, and spring is expected to arrive earlier. These changes could affect winter tourism, maple syrup production, orchards, and agriculture, potentially requiring changes to the crops grown. The video also acknowledges the cultural and emotional loss associated with having less snow.
• Oceans and fisheries: The ocean is warming faster than land, prompting fish and other marine species to move north in search of cooler waters. This could change coastal ecosystems and make catches less predictable. Existing sustainable fisheries management may help preserve some commercially valuable fisheries.
• Sea-level rise and coastal flooding: The video describes a sea-level rise of roughly three feet by 2050 as a plausible estimate. Areas already vulnerable to high-tide flooding could face worsening impacts, threatening coastal communities and developed property. Much of New York could be at risk of inundation.
• Adaptation and opportunities: Responses discussed include building seawalls, preparing cities for coastal change, and, in some locations, deliberately making room for the sea. Planned coastal wetlands or estuaries could provide habitat, including places for oysters to reproduce. The video encourages communities and businesses to prepare for changing conditions and consider new services, crops, and economic opportunities.

Researchers and Sources Featured

• Dr. Emily Sheridan, American Resiliency (AR), presenter.
• Government definition of the Northeast: Referenced but not identified more specifically.
• City of Boston’s coastal sustainability and preparedness work: Mentioned as an example; no individual researchers are named.
• Sea-level projection mapping tool: Referenced as a way to check projected coastal changes by address, but not named.