Berapa profit per bulan yang bisa dihasilkan dari trading? Eps.09

Finance-focused summary (Trading profit realistically per month)

Core premise / framing

• Trading outcomes are framed as profits vs losses, including the possibility of bankruptcy.
• The video emphasizes that monthly return potential is tightly linked to risk, and that consistency is difficult.

Risk, sizing, and money management framework (implied methodology)

• Return is proportional to risk: higher target profits typically require higher risk.
• Sizing & money management drive outcomes:
  • Example: trading 10 million Rupiah with 10% risk (RIS) and 15% reward
    • Loss: 1 million
    • Profit: 1.5 million
  • If size increases to 100 million:
    • Risk becomes 10 million
    • Reward becomes 15 million
• Psychological risk scales with position size:
  • 10 million may feel “objective,” while 100 million becomes “emotional,” potentially harming discipline.

Realistic performance targets (explicit numbers)

• Monthly realistic target (based on observing many courses, friends, and full-time traders):
  • ~2%–5% per month (most realistic range)
  • Personal framing by the host:
    • With ~7 years in markets: 2%–3%/month
    • ~5% is treated as a “bonus”
• Annual target (averaged over the year):
  • ~25%–35% is described as “good enough.”

Why not target extreme monthly returns (cautions + examples)

• The host warns that aiming for overly high monthly targets leads to forced trading, which then causes:
  • overtrading
  • broken discipline in entry timing and position sizing
• Example of target-driven behavior:
  • If you set a 20% monthly target, and by day 15 you’re at 5%,
  • the gap to the target can trigger impulsive additional trades rather than following the original plan.
• Discipline breakdown example (personal):
  • After missing targets, sizing was allowed to rise from about 0.1 lot to 0.3–0.4 lot to “force” the result.
  • Outcome: it turned into a loss.

Handling “target reached early” (three options)

If a trader reaches the monthly target early but there are days left:

1. Stop trading / take a break until next month
   • Drawback: may miss new opportunities.
2. Use a second (smaller) account (roughly 1/4 capital) for continued trading
   • Drawback: backup capital sits idle/infrequently used.
3. Withdraw profit first on the main account, then continue trading with a reset balance
   • Rationale: prevents “mental accounting” where traders risk profits as if they’re not real capital.
   • The host stresses the danger of increasing risk after “paper gains” (e.g., after $50 profit on a $1000 balance, continuing trades with larger risk can lead to losses that erase the gains).

Aggressive targets (when it might work)

• 100% per month is described as possible at certain moments (e.g., trading competitions).
• But for a main account meant for ongoing cashflow, the host insists on realism and consistency (again citing 2%–5% monthly as typical).

Comparison to interest rates / inflation of expectations

• The host argues that 2%–5% monthly is not “small” relative to typical annual deposit/interest rates:
  • Deposit interest is claimed to be about 4%–5% per year
  • Therefore, 2%–5% monthly could be viewed as very high in comparison.

Capital base matters (nominal vs percentage)

• Warning against dismissing returns because the percentage feels small.
• Message: focus on percentage discipline but also grow capital:
  • Example: with 100 million capital at 3% → 3 million per month
• Trading/investing are also framed as not quick ways to get rich—more of a gradual process.

Long learning / risk of margin calls

• Personal history:
  • Experienced a margin call after losing 55 million about 7 years ago
  • Restarted with 500,000, then went through repeated margin calls
  • Took roughly 3 years to become disciplined (plan, money management, and psychology—avoiding FOMO and greed)

Portfolio / cashflow planning (high-level roadmap)

• A future episode is teased for portfolio construction:
  • Episode 11–12 will explain step-by-step how to manage a trading portfolio and an investment portfolio
  • Not all money goes into trading; trading is described as cash flow, with the end goal being passive income from investments

Key “capital preservation” rule (explicit)

• Maintaining capital is more important than large profits.
• Warning:
  • Capital erosion of 1% / 3% / 5% can be recoverable
  • But erosion of ~90% is extremely difficult to recover from (especially psychologically)
• Emphasis: focus on preserving capital rather than chasing reward.

Disclosures / disclaimers

• No formal “not financial advice” disclaimer is present in the subtitle text provided.

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Tickers / instruments mentioned

• No specific tickers, ETFs, bonds, commodities, or crypto assets are mentioned.
• Instruments are referenced indirectly: Forex trading context appears (e.g., “lot”, “demo account”, “Forex story group”).

Presenter / sources

• Presenter/Host: The video speaker (not named in the subtitles).
• Community/Source mentioned: “Forex story group” (free group via WhatsApp) and an “admin” sending the group link.
• Referenced sources (general, not named): “dozens of paid courses,” and “friends” who are active in trading events / full-time traders.