NEW!! Steals & Busts in EVERY Round | All My Targets for Fantasy Basketball's Top-100!

Storyline / Topic

This video is a fantasy basketball draft strategy breakdown (“Old Man Squad Fantasy Basketball,” presented by FanDuel), focusing on “steals & busts” across every Yahoo draft round.

The host (Dan Besbris) updates his target list based on Yahoo’s latest board changes (notably released Oct 1) and explains how to build teams by predicting role/efficiency/rotation stability, especially through:

• Rotation games (games played)
• Category fit (e.g., steals/blocks, assists, rebounds, turnovers)

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Gameplay / Draft Method Highlights (what the “game” is here)

Instead of gameplay in the traditional sense, the “game” is fantasy drafting. Key ideas repeated throughout:

• Draft by category math, not just per-game rank.
• Prioritize “rotation stability” (how likely a player is to play most games).
• Use punt strategies (Rotisserie or head-to-head) when they improve category coverage.
• Avoid compounding risk: don’t stack too many injury/variance-prone picks at once.
• Time-based logic by round:
  • Early rounds: safest “top” choices
  • Middle rounds: value + category scarcity
  • Later rounds: “tryout” picks and game theory (targeting players likely to beat ADP or who are underpriced)

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Round-by-Round Story / Key Targets

Round 1 (early “interceptions” / top-tier steals)

• Top interception targets (top four): Joker/Top of board + other elite names
  • The host emphasizes that these are obvious and doesn’t rehash them.
• Tyrese Haliburton as a special “interception” pick approach:
  • Could climb due to value at his draft spot
  • Works in Rotisserie by minimizing turnovers and contributing defensive/value categories
  • Works in head-to-head punt builds by helping win defensive/turnover-related categories early

General concept: many “middle-first” stars may not land where expected because injury/GP variability makes per-game rankings misleading.

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Round 2 (value shifting)

• Jamal Murray (~17): likes the chance to land in the top ten
• Austin Reaves (~21): values defensive/efficiency profile and “positive” contribution areas
• Other possible second-round options depending on how the board falls (example given: Barnes-style early-round value if available)

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Late early / pre-3rd discussion (category fit critiques)

• Karl-Anthony Towns: called a “fake center” in the context of center expectations
  • Strong in some defender-adjacent areas, but not blocking/rebounding enough for typical center-category performance.
• Josh Giddey: host thinks he may underperform in the middle of the second
  • Needs better production to justify position; not ideal as a mid-2nd “sweet spot.”

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Third Round (scoring diversity / “simplify to math”)

Third-round “interceptions” listed:

• Chet Holmgren (28)
• Trey Murphy (30)
• Cedi / “Garden” (31) (subtitle naming error; the host discusses an additional third-round interception target alongside these)
• Lauri Markkanen (32)

Why these are targeted:

• Managers shift from “pure scoring stars” to category diversity
• Holmgren fit:
  • Strong in a lower-turnover profile, with blocks/rebounds/efficiency potential
  • If drafted around ~30, he can outperform his ADP significantly

Third-round winners:

• Bam Adebayo: “too early” in early third, but liked late third / early fourth for consistency
• Jaylen Brunson: strong scoring/assists/FT/3PT profile, but heavy downside:
  • Very poor defense and very poor rebounding
  • You must accept category penalties while relying on his positives

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Round 4 (“tryout round” + injury games played logic)

The host emphasizes high-risk / high-reward players pushed down to round 4:

• Kawhi Leonard (~37)
• Anthony Davis (~45)
• Kyrie Irving (~46)

Rationale: in round 4, you can take top talent even if they miss games—you’re still likely to get high output during the games you do get.

Additional “interception” value:

• Walker Kessler: host believes he’s undervalued and likely top-40 (with top-25 potential)

Round 4 other picks (host-specific targets):

• Jaylen Brown: not enthusiastic; concerns about role initiation and turnover/usage dynamics in Philly’s structure
• Deni Avdija: concerned about reduced usage based on team context (mentioned alongside Ja Morant and Damian Lillard references) plus worries about punting value and turnovers

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Rounds 5–6 (more “lively” value picks)

Round 5 interception targets listed:

• Onyeka Okongwu
• Joel Embiid
• Darius Garland
• Dejounte Murray
• Naji(e)il Alexander-Walker (spelling varies in subtitles)
• Michael Porter Jr.

Key notes:

• Dejounte Murray is the host’s favorite among these, projecting a full “complete point guard” role.
• Garland is liked but flagged with a “Clippers purgatory”-type risk logic:
  • If the team isn’t competing, incentives to protect health could matter.

Round 6 liked targets (7 names):

• Dyson Daniels
• Ryan Rollins
• Damian Lillard
• Tyler Herro
• OG Anunoby
• Keldon Johnson
• Mathurin (subtitles say “Mathiss Tybull”; name appears to be mis-subtitled—host likely refers to J. Mathurin or similar)

Also mentioned:

• The host strongly cautions against players with soft-tissue / early-season injury risk, citing examples he avoids due to injury uncertainty and delayed evaluation.

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Round 7 (big “sucks” / avoid list + upside picks)

• Host covers Yahoo’s late 7th range (73–84):
  • Says several are “fine / even” but not exciting.
• Does not like Stephon Castle due to fantasy profile mismatch:
  • Turnovers, low scoring/3s, FT issues
  • Defensive rebound/blocks not translating

Likes:

• Ausar Thompson
• Paul George

Paul George argument:

• The host’s long-running belief: PG’s fantasy profile fits better in his current context and can jump meaningfully from ADP
• Framed as a classic late pick: buy low for breakout-category value

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Round 8 (older-school value)

Likes:

• Immanuel Quickley (steady fantasy value even without perfect health/usage)
• Norman Powell (shooting volume + potential top-40 run before trades)
• Jaden McDaniels (late-80/90-ish value with repeatable output potential)

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Rounds 9–10 (game theory / pick planning)

The host combines 9th and 10th rounds into one board exercise and recommends a strategy for drafting from a crowded pool:

• He lists players he likes in the 9–10 range (with approximate tier logic), including:
  • Josh Hart
  • Myles Turner
  • CJ McCollum
  • Keon Murray (spelling varies)
  • John Collins
  • Naji Marshall
  • Ty Jerome
  • Keegan Murray
  • (Also potentially mentions Caleb Martin and a “Boyles/Boulos”-like name, but subtitles appear to introduce processing errors.)

Key game-theory rule:

• If possible, draft so you can land two from the cluster (not just one):
  • If both are in the same tier, take the one more likely to be taken earlier.
  • If multiple similar players exist, choose the one that increases your odds of securing both.

Practical example logic:

• When two players are similarly valued and one usually gets picked earlier, take the earlier one first to maximize your chances to get both later.

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Key Strategies / Tips to Take Away

• Target Haliburton for value via role fit and punt-style defensive/turnover advantages.
• Be round-specific:
  • Early: stability + top-tier value
  • Middle: category scarcity and efficiency/role
  • Late: accept injury/GP risk + bet on ADP overperformance
• Avoid over-compounding risk, especially stacking multiple injury-prone guys close together.
• In late rounds, use crowded-board game theory to maximize odds of drafting multiple winners in the same tier.

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Gamers / Sources Featured (mentioned at the end)

• Dan Besbris (host)
• FanDuel (presenter/sponsor; also referenced via sportsbook/odds context)
• Fantrax (fantasy link mentioned)
• Yahoo Fantasy Basketball (Yahoo draft board reference)
• Reddit (mentioned as a commenter source)
• Twitter handle mentioned: @DanBesbris