Video summary

البورصة المصرية - حلقة مميزة جدا من برنامج البورصة النهاردة و عرض أهم الأسهم المرشحة للصعود:26-08-18

Main summary

Key takeaways

Finance

Market snapshot & flows (EGX / indices)

  • Trading volume: 14.523 billion (currency not specified in subtitles)
    • Institutions: 18%
    • Individuals: 82%

Net buying/selling by investor type

  • Egyptian individuals: net buyers ~207.875 million
  • Egyptian institutions: net buyers ~27 million
  • Arab institutions: net sellers ~76.700 million
  • Foreign institutions: net sellers ~92.258 million

Index levels mentioned

“Latin American index” (likely an EGX30-related proxy)

  • Opened: 55,415
  • High: 55,59x (subtitles show 5559, likely a transcription issue)
  • Low: ~55,000
  • Closed: 55,276 (-138 points)
  • Technical commentary:
    • “Price gap around 55,000” was closed
    • Recovery began afterward

EGX70

  • Opened: 21,771
  • High: 21,946
  • Low: ~21,000 (subtitles show 21000 (1613); likely formatting noise)
  • Closed: 21,670
    • Subtitles include inconsistent close values (e.g., 2167 / “down 104 points”), likely due to transcription issues.

Technical view

  • Resistance: 21,700–22,000 area
    • Failed attempts to break above 21,700
  • Support / downside targets:
    • If 21,500 breaks → 21,200 → 21,000
    • Further downside discussion referenced toward 20,000, then 20,700 / 20,500 (exact mapping unclear from subtitles)

Macro / event catalysts & timing

  • Central Bank interest rate announcement

    • Meeting on Thursday
    • Expected behavior: week before the meeting often brings index fluctuations
  • Index rebalancing

    • “Stocks removed and added” in indices
    • Expected impact: funds tracking indices may exit removed stocks / enter added stocks, increasing volatility
  • Outlook for tomorrow / near term

    • Guests expected a rebound tomorrow
    • A retest was mentioned around 55,000 after ~1.5 hours into the session
    • End-of-month effects: typical profit-taking and margin/credit adjustments
      • Not expected to break major supports severely
    • Trading calendar: next week has only four trading days (as stated)

Portfolio / trading framework & methodology

  • Support/resistance “buy zones”

    • Wait for pullbacks to support
    • Treat breaks as potentially false breakouts if key levels hold
  • Trend vs speculation split (portfolio construction)

    • Investment component: medium-to-long term positions (linked to index trends; “institutional/classic” stocks)
    • Speculative component: trades expected to play out in 1–2 weeks
  • Risk management

    • Stop-loss levels were explicitly referenced for Telecom Egypt (see stock section)

Explicit stock/sector recommendations & key levels

EGX30 / “leading” / “lagging” calls

CIB (Commercial International Bank)

  • Framed as most lagging, but currently in accumulation zones
  • Resistance: 143–145
    • Targets if broken: 150, then 160
    • Subtitles mentioned a target near 170, later caveated as unlikely (“it won’t reach 170”)

Critical support condition

  • Must remain above 138
  • Mentioned specifically: closing price must be above 138 to keep the view intact

Alternative buying levels (Ahmed)

  • Attractive zones: 138 and 133
  • 133 noted with high volume (buyers entering)
  • Structure note: if a pullback causes a break below 188, it could still be a false break
  • Additional reference (transcription noise): maintaining support levels around 138, and “not gaining at 138” (meaning inferred as support retention)

Telecom Egypt

  • Stop-loss: 92 EGP
  • Fair value (analysis/management): around 144 EGP
  • Current action/levels:
    • Consolidating after ~125 EGP
    • Buying zones: 115–116 EGP

Talaat Moustafa (Talaat Moustafa Holding)

  • Mentioned among the most lagging
  • View: accumulation and potential upward movement
  • No precise targets given in the strongest sections (generally “upward”)

Construction stock (name not fully specified)

  • Strong level: 735 EGP (described as “vital/extremely important”)
  • Reference: previously reached ~800 EGP, but stronger targets still expected

Egypt Aluminum

  • Positive view after reaching ~3558
  • Entry/consolidation: 335–340

Qalaa (Qalaa Holdings)

  • Short-term targets: 570, then 620

Breakout framework

  • Resistance 65
  • If breaks 65–75 zone → breakout thesis
  • If exactly 75 breaks → target 6.6
  • Additional path:
    • Stable above 75 → push to 780
    • If breaks → test previous peak 800

Beltone

  • Targets:
    • 320 (subtitles show “3-20”)
  • Condition: must break through to continue rise
  • 315 described as extremely important and lagging vs the index

iFinance

  • “Doesn’t break support levels”
  • Maintaining above 24
  • Close at 24
  • Attempt 25 as resistance
    • If breaks → 25–26

El-Sewedy (Elsewedy)

  • Re-entry zone: 120–122
  • Targets: 135 and 140

Poultry stocks

General conditional: only while key support holds (no break)

  • Egyptian Poultry
    • Support: 11.5 and 17.5 (subtitles show “11.5 and 175”; likely 17.5)
    • Close: above 12.25 (previous peak broken)
    • Thesis: pullback to 12.25 as a bottom test; higher targets expected
    • Higher-than discussion around 13.65 (subtitles show 1365/13.65)

EGX70 segment: bearish/neutral bias on the index + stock setups

EGX70 index outlook

  • Bias: slight pullback likely
    • ~51,000 mentioned as a target region (numeric mismatch vs EGX70 scale, but direction is clear: pullback)
  • Key resistance: failed attempts around 21,700
    • Close below 21,700 suggests weakness

Supports

  • 21,500 → 21,200 → 21,000
  • Breaking 21,000 framed as negative, with further declines toward 20,000 and lower levels

Positive stock picks mentioned with resistance/support targets

  • Al-Aboul Real Estate Investment

    • Resistance: 35
    • Targets if broken: 37, 39–40
  • Ismailia Poultry

    • Close above 35
    • Resistance: 36
    • Targets: 37 then 40
  • Binyan

    • Resistance: 84
    • If breaks: breakout from sideways; target ~5.25 (subtitles: “5 and 25”)
  • Samou

    • Support: 11.5 and 11.70
    • If breaks through: target 12
  • Nahr El Kheir

    • Positive: reached 49 piasters, closed at 48
    • Resistance test: 49
    • Targets: 52, then 55 piasters
  • OBI Financial

    • Resistance: 92 piasters
    • If breaks → around 1 EGP, then 10 (subtitles include confusion between “1.0” and “10 piasters”)
  • Education Systems

    • Strong level: 74 piasters
    • If breaks: target 80 piasters
    • Noted: high trading volumes and sideways consolidation
  • Lecico

    • Rebounded; resistance: 35
    • If breaks: targets 37–38
  • Al-Ramas (ceramics)

    • Lagging but holding support
    • Support: 25 and 30 EGP
    • Sideways range: 25–36 EGP (speculative within range)

Ceramics sector caution

  • Smaller ceramics (e.g., Rimas / Al-Ramas) described as weak/least likely to rise
  • Al-Ramas still seen as maintaining support

Other “institutional/classic stocks” and key levels

Fawry / Heliopolis / Nasr City

  • Framed as institutional/classic trend stocks (not speculative)
  • Fawry and others: sideways with upward bias

Fawry levels

  • Strong support: 18.70
  • Working zone: starts reaching 18.80–19
  • If surpass 19.70 → strong upward move
  • Further targets: 20.5, then 21

Petrochemicals (sector view + stock ranking & level entries)

Sector timing view

  • Petrochemicals may be entering another rise before end of year (timing: before year-end)

Named petrochemical-linked stocks (mentioned)

  • Mobco
  • Abu Air
  • Kima
  • Sidi Kerir
  • Also mentioned: K&P (ticker/company unclear)

Kima (Keema/Kima) — detailed levels

  • Support entry to confidently enter: 13.95
  • Thesis note: unlikely to revisit 13.95; more likely rebound toward 15.37
  • Resistance / “pain point”: 14.5 (tested twice and bounced)
    • If breaks 14.5 → path opens toward 15.5–15.30 (subtitles contain “15 and 15 30”)

Petrochemical strength ranking (strongest → weakest)

  1. Abu Air
  2. Almore (spelling unclear)
  3. Kima
  4. Sidi Kerir
  5. Moko (Mobco/Moko)

(Repeated as personal opinion in subtitles.)


Mobco (Moko)

  • Mentioned behavior:
    • Initial rise to ~1
    • Then crash to ~41
    • Stabilizing/accumulating again
  • Expected: another rise after calming/stabilizing

Company/events mentioned (non-price finance items)

  • Alexandria Medical Center

    • Mentioned level around 106 as a support/stop-loss area for investors who bought around 106
  • Arab Energy

    • Linked to Al-Aqlaa / Al Qalaa
    • Context: oil/refining; expected to work in coming period

Named stocks / instruments list (as extracted)

  • CIB
  • Telecom Egypt
  • Talaat Moustafa
  • Qalaa
  • Beltone
  • iFinance
  • El-Sewedy
  • Egyptian Poultry (and other poultry references)
  • Al-Aboul Real Estate Investment
  • Ismailia Poultry
  • Binyan
  • Samou
  • Nahr El Kheir
  • OBI Financial
  • Education Systems
  • Lecico
  • Al-Ramas / ceramics (Rimas mentioned)
  • Fawry
  • Heliopolis
  • Nasr City
  • Petrochemicals: Mobco, Abu Air, Kima, Sidi Kerir, K&P (unclear)

Disclosures / disclaimers

  • No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the subtitles.
  • Speakers repeatedly frame views as opinions and use conditional technical rules (support/resistance, false breakouts, medium-to-long term vs speculation).

Presenters / sources mentioned

  • Ms. Marwa Abu El-Nasr
  • Mr. Ahmed Shawky
  • Professor Khaled (referenced/interacted as a guest; later “This was Khaled Sayed Al Salam.”)
  • Professor Amr Saber (past source; referenced “classic stocks” framing)
  • Professor Maroud (mentioned in relation to Fawry’s trend)
  • Faisal Company representative (operational visit mentioned; not a studio presenter)

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