💰 تحلیل جفت ارز (EURUSD) 18 اردیبهشت 1405

Asset / Ticker mentions

• EURUSD (EUR/USD currency pair)

Key market observations (macro + technical)

• Dollar vs. euro relative strength: USD is described as stronger than the euro. The euro is characterized as one of the weakest currencies. This “currency strength” view is referenced on daily and 4-hour intervals.
• Geopolitical tension: Increased geopolitical tensions over the weekend led to a bearish gap on Monday.

Timeline / timeframe references

• Date context: Analysis refers to May 13, along with “last week,” Friday, and Monday.
• Timeframes used: Daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts.

Price levels / key numbers stated

Daily movement

• After a bullish gap, price fell to around 1.1676.
• Later trading referenced around 1.172.
• Support area:
  • Last week’s low
  • ~1.1675
• If support fails: price could move toward a daily FPG (no explicit numeric level given).
• US dollar backdrop references a CPI-driven environment.

4-hour

• Resistance not broken: “above resistance level 1 this month” (implies roughly ~1.1800, though digits are partially garbled).
• Notes include closes around 1.1784 and 1.1786 (“Closed in 1784/1786” and “returned to the bottom…”).
• A rapid drop is noted: it broke the previous major bottom downwards.

1-hour / FVG / FBG zones

• Price is described as filling 1-hour and 4-hour “FBG” areas.
• An earlier 4-hour FVG area is mentioned; if not filled, it’s treated as a BPR area.
• For entries: focus on sell setups after corrections.

Macro / economic calendar items (US inflation drivers)

• US CPI (April):
  • CPI growth mentioned as faster than expected
  • CPI index increased to 3.8
• Upcoming/mentioned report:
  • US Dollar PPP report (“later today”)
• Risk context: Markets are affected by structural inflation + geopolitical risks; risk-taking neither fully disappeared nor stabilized.

Trading framework / methodology (as described)

• Sentiment / structure logic:
  • Determine daily sentiment (stated as bullish and bearish—the subtitle appears contradictory/garbled, but the intent is to judge bias from daily structure).
• Identify key zones:
  • Support: last week’s low / ~1.1675
  • FVG / FBG zones: 1-hour and 4-hour
  • Define a BPR area if an FVG is not filled
• Execution bias:
  • With increasing USD strength and EURUSD decline, the plan is to prefer sell positions.
  • Expect short-term, limited corrections (the “Sharpe” reference is tied to downward movement).
  • Enter on lower timeframes when price corrects in line with liquidity (“domestic liquidity” phrasing).

Explicit recommendations / cautions

• Bias: “mostly looking to enter sell positions.”
• Risk/condition: If price cannot stabilize above ~1.1675, it may fall further toward a daily FPG zone.
• Timing: Mentions “finally on Friday” and “later today” for PPP, but no explicit numeric targets for those dates are provided beyond the zone levels.

Disclaimers

• The provided text includes no clear “not financial advice” disclaimer in the subtitles/sections shown.

Presenters / sources

• Presenter name: not clearly stated.
• Tools / mentions (not necessarily the presenter):
  • Trading Journal app for MetaTrader 5
  • Bloom Trading Footprint Indicator
  • Bloom Profile
  • Fasts Kard Hervey Trade