Profile 4 Hour Candles | Creating A Bias Mechanically

Overview

This video presents a “4-hour profile” framework for trading intraday directionality and continuation/retracement behavior around specific 4-hour session candles. The creator emphasizes that trade signals depend on SMT (strength / market structure transfer concept) across correlated assets.

A recurring theme is that what looks like a 4-hour “reversal” setup often leads to one of two outcomes:

• Continuation in later session candles, or
• Retracement / “avoid trades” behavior, depending on whether the relevant session formed the high/low of day (HOD/LOD).

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Explicit 4-hour profile timing / expectations

18:00 reversal (daily open reversal)

If 18:00 reverses, the next key expectation candle is:

• 22:00 → continue the reversal
• If 22:00 reverses → expect 02:00 continuation
• If 02:00 reverses → expect 06:00 continuation
• If 06:00 reverses → expect 10:00 continuation

Special “high/low of day” behavior at 18:00

If 18:00 creates the high of day or low of day, then shows continuous expansion, the speaker says New York is low probability (or likely a retracement).

In that case:

• Avoid New York expansion trades
• Prefer retracement trades
• Unless London consolidates and enables a new 4-hour profile

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10:00 a.m. reversal into expansion (special case)

• 10:00 creates high/low of day
• Then it reverses and expands

Trading preference:

• A smaller wick is preferred
• A larger wick reduces the probability of reaching the full “draw on liquidity” because much of the range is “spent” in the wick

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22:00 reversal (10:00 p.m. in examples)

A 22:00 reversal can lead to continuation via:

• 02:00
• 06:00
• 10:00 a.m.

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02:00 a.m. reversal (key for “good New York profiles”)

• The speaker calls 02:00 a.m. reversal the point where New York becomes higher probable.
• After a 02:00 a.m. reversal, expect continuation via:
  • 06:00 a.m.
  • 10:00 a.m.

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06:00 a.m. reversal

• When 06:00 a.m. reverses, New York becomes very high probable
• 10:00 a.m. is expected to continue that reversal

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Core methodological rules (framework)

1) Build the 4-hour profile by candle time

The “profile” is identified using the candle times:

• 18:00
• 22:00
• 02:00
• 06:00
• 10:00 a.m.

(Also discussed: daily open and avoidance of 2:00 p.m.)

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2) Classify the profile candle

For each profile candle, determine:

• Whether it creates high/low of day (important for New York continuation vs retracement)
• Whether it is a reversal candle versus a non-reversal “just expansion” candle

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3) Require SMT to trade reversal candles

The speaker states SMT is needed to trade reversal candles at:

• 18:00
• 22:00
• 02:00
• 06:00
• Daily open (per the speaker)

SMT is assessed using correlated assets (with examples later referencing metals/indices futures, etc.).

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4) If there’s no SMT (or no reversal candle), wait for confirmation

If:

• there is no SMT, and/or
• it’s not a true reversal yet

Then the approach becomes:

• Wait for the next confirming candle (the speaker references confirmation on subsequent key session times)
• If the reversal is not tradeable, trade continuation on the next candle

This can include attention to gaps on lower time frames.

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5) If continuation is delayed (“missed the reversal candle”)

If the continuation doesn’t immediately follow:

• Drop to lower time frames: 1h / 30m / 15m
• Look for:
  • gaps inside the relevant candle (to target continuation), or
  • a swing formation with SMT on the lower time frame

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6) Avoid certain sessions

The speaker explicitly says they do not trade the 2:00 p.m. candle due to low volatility/liquidity.

Also, when there is straight expansion without meaningful HOD/LOD creation, the speaker suggests avoiding because the daily candle can only expand so far unless a new 4-hour high/low forms.

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Key instruments / assets mentioned

• Gold (referred to as the “gold contract”)
• Silver
• Nasdaq futures: NQ
• ES (E-mini Nasdaq / index context, per transcript usage)
• YM (E-mini Dow)
• Euro / GBP (referenced in the correlated-asset SMT/PSP context; no tickers provided)

No explicit ETFs, bond tickers, or equity/macro tickers are stated.

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Key trade qualifiers (numbers & targets)

Time-based “numbers”

Primary times referenced:

• 18:00
• 22:00
• 02:00
• 06:00
• 10:00 a.m.
• 2:00 p.m. (explicitly avoided)

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Probability / quality qualifiers

• 18:00 creates HOD/LOD + continuous expansion → New York is less probable for expansion → prefer retracement, or wait for London consolidation to form a new profile

• 10:00 reversal wick size

  • Prefer smaller wick (more room to expand to liquidity draw)
  • Large wick may imply price will not reach the full draw on liquidity

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Performance metrics / returns

No performance metrics were discussed (no P&L, win rate, CAGR, Sharpe, etc.).

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Disclosures / disclaimers

No explicit disclaimer (e.g., “not financial advice”) appears in the provided subtitles.

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Presenter / source

• Presenter: the YouTube creator speaking in the subtitles (name not provided)
• Source: YouTube (channel not specified)