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In a weekend commentary dated October 25, 2026, the unnamed host argues that the United States and its allies have badly misjudged their military and geopolitical position. An opening clip contrasts earlier claims of victory in the Iran war with reports of attacks on U.S. bases, American casualties and injuries, and depleted missile reserves. The host presents these as evidence of a broader U.S. failure.

The host says the Ukraine conflict was set on its current course during the Biden administration, while acknowledging Trump’s earlier involvement. He argues that the war has weakened the United States militarily and that Western officials and analysts do not understand the balance of power. He also criticizes CIA Director John Ratcliffe, portraying him as a political appointee without the military or intelligence expertise needed to assess Russia’s capabilities.

A major theme is the host’s claim that Europe is losing influence. He points to economic decline and protests or unrest in places including France and Italy, and argues that European leaders have undermined the values they claim to promote. Citing Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov, he says Europe will be excluded from negotiations over Ukraine. He also discusses the prospect of talks among the United States, Russia, and China, or a meeting involving Trump and Putin, framing such diplomacy as a return to great-power bargaining over spheres of influence.

The host further argues that Western military advantages in weapons and communications have not translated into operational or strategic success. He characterizes the U.S. military as institutionally unable to learn from its setbacks and says Western reporting obscures Ukrainian losses. He claims Russian combat potential is growing as new systems reach the front, while Ukrainian forces continue to deteriorate.

As examples of declining Western capacity, the host cites lower per-capita electricity generation in the United Kingdom than in the 1970s and reports that British submarines may lack reliable under-ice capabilities. He contrasts this with Russia’s Arctic submarine experience and anti-submarine defenses, arguing that British forces would be ineffective near Russian northern bases. These assessments, along with his broader claims about military outcomes and losses, are presented as the host’s opinions.

Presenter and Contributors

  • Presenter: Unnamed host of the smoothieX12 channel.
  • Guest contributors: None identified. The host refers to public figures and researchers, including Ian Proud, but they do not appear as speakers in the video.

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