الاجتماع اليومى لشركه اسباير لتداول الاوراق الماليه والسندات جلسه يوم 19-08-2026

Company / Meeting Context

• Daily market meeting at Spire Securities and Bonds Trading Company for session Aug 19, 2026.
• The presenter maintains a watchlist framework:
  • A main list
  • An opportunities/opportunity list
• The watchlist is updated based on:
  • Audience requests
  • List capacity

Concrete list change

• Added “Sinai Cement” to the main list by request
• Removed “South Valley”
• Viewers were reminded they can request alternative replacements (e.g., “Cement Here” vs “Sinai Cement”).

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Market / Sector “Playbook” (Rotation & Liquidity Lens)

The presenter uses a sector-rotation / liquidity approach.

EGX 30 total trading value

• EGX 30 total trading value: 14.523 billion (Egyptian pounds implied)

Liquidity explanation

• Non-banking financial services liquidity was driven by Qalaa Holdings
• Qalaa Holdings executed a trade of ~1.35B in the previous session, acting as a liquidity catalyst

Sector leadership / rotation (observations)

• Top sectors:
  • Real estate
  • Non-banking financial services
  • Food & beverages
• Healthcare rebound:
  • Mentioned healthcare outflows ~166M
  • With trading volume ~1.3B
  • Liquidity had left the sector “violently,” then partially normalized

Execution mindset

• Volatility creates opportunities.
• Advice: don’t over-worry—focus on pre-defined “break levels.”

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Framework: “Break Levels” Risk Management (Indexes)

They define decisive technical levels; if broken, market risk increases.

EGX 30

• Current/protective area: 54,000
• Downside / correction starts if: EGX 30 goes below 54.00
• Upside targets if market holds:
  • 56,100 → 56,400 → 56,500

EGX 70

• Key level: 21400–21450
• Best case: remain around 21400, then move higher:
  • 22200 → 22600 → 23300
• If it breaks 21400: correction scenario
  • Possible move toward early rise levels such as 2200 → 20.5 (half-level mentioned)
• Moving-average guidance:
  • “20-day moving average” referenced around 19800
  • First pullback target: 20.5

EGX 33 (Sharia Index)

• Claim: target has been reached; momentum slows naturally
• Must remain above: ~6300
• Next milestones:
  • 6700 → 7300

“US-type / commercial market” moving-average condition (as described)

• Negative signal: price fell below the 20-day moving average
• Potential test: ~138 EGP
• Downside pathway:
  • If price confirms below 138 EGP, retest around 133 EGP
• Resistance cited: 142.80 EGP
• Stop/hold guidance (examples mentioned):
  • Base 53 EGP
  • Short-term stop around ~50 EGP

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Concrete Execution: Trade Management Rules (Take-Profit Playbook)

Take-profit via staged exits

• Example logic for “Sodey”-type setups:
  • Take profits in chunks across multiple targets (e.g., selling portions at successive levels)
• Core principle:
  • Don’t wait for the absolute peak
  • Be outside the target area by the time buyers exit “inside” the stock

Trailing stop approach

• Identify a “base” support that should not break.
• If price rises:
  • Raise the trailing stop gradually
  • Use prior session lows / support levels
• Example trailing-stop references:
  • A “must-hold” logic around 119–120
  • Another baseline idea around 104 (historical peak as a stop area)

Position scaling rule

• Explicit warning:
  • Don’t increase positions unless price reaches support levels or forms a reversal pattern

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Company / Stock Watch: Key Levels, Stops, and Targets

Below are notable stocks discussed with the presenter’s stated structure (protective stop / resistance / targets). Values are as spoken; some may reflect minor transcription ambiguity.

Added / Asked Stocks (watchlist maintenance)

Sinai Cement

• Stop-loss area: below ~90.60
• Sideways / risk scenario: expected to range between ~113 and below 90
• If it breaks 90:
  • “Problem” / further downside risk

South Valley

• Intraday support / stop: ~10.65
• Alternative stop mentioned: ~10.13 (previous peak stop logic)
• Targets still cited: ~12.80 and 13
• Condition: as long as short-term it stays above ~10.13

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Cement & Construction Theme

Cement sector (general rule)

• Emphasized stop around 70 EGP for cement-related names
• If above:
  • Thesis: return toward 80
  • And ~91 remains valid
• Reasoning:
  • Fast run-ups create natural profit-taking
  • Volatility is expected

Misr Beni Suef Cement

• Short-term support ladder: ~337 → 315
• If above 315: maintain short-term position
• Stop example: 314
• Larger timeframe profits already taken (~300 cited)

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Fertilizers

Abu Qir Fertilizers

• Retest target: ~77
• Protection: maintain ~75.5
• Upside path (if holds):
  • 80.30 → 84
• Downside trigger:
  • Break of 75.5 considered the risk event

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Industrials / Other

Mobco

• Support: ~39.0
• Main stop: ~36.80 (200-day moving average)
• Take-profit ladder:
  • 41.5 → 43 → 46

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Sector Leaders / Large Caps & Non-Banking Financial Services

Arab Asset Management

• Stop-loss region: ~37.80 / 36 (61% reference)
• Presenter’s picked stop: ~36
• Post-correction target: ~43.86

Export Bank

• “Already at target” described around 21–35
• Pullback zone: 21 → 20
• Stop-loss: ~20
• Key decisive level: ~79 piasters
• Add-on condition: crossing ~83 piasters again

Contact Financial Holding

• Support: around ~84
• Stop-loss: ~4.68 (decimal formatting may be omitted in transcription)
• First breakout target: 5
• Additional targets mentioned:
  • 35
  • Then directional path toward ~85 to 6.25
• Thesis: aligns with non-banking financial services; expects strong upside

Egypt Chemicals

• Hold condition: above ~46.30
• Upside “gateway”: breakout above ~53.50
• Target after gateway: ~55.64

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Real Estate / Development Names

Palm Hills

• “No problem” as long as above 15.4
• Target: 1640 (resistance)
• Higher target mentioned: 175
• Note: two stop logic variants were referenced depending on horizon (traders vs longer-term holders)

Emaar

• Support: ~1160
• Confirmation note: “118 hasn’t been broken”
• Rebound target: ~12.12
• Strong-move trigger levels:
  • 12.70 → 13.70
• Downside risk line:
  • If it breaks ~11, bullish continuation is invalidated

Mansoura Poultry

• Breakout condition: breaking ~32
• Upside targets (short-term ladder): 2.5 → 2.42 → 2.62
• Stop-loss references:
  • “Below ~21”
  • Also a condition described as “above 26” (as cited)

SODIC

• Most important support / decision zone: ~3030
• First bounce levels:
  • 32.80 → 31.5 → 30
• Execution reminder:
  • “Real test is rebound after drop”

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Telecom / Industrial / Other Mentions

Telecom

• Hold as long as above 100.14 and 107
• Target: 122
• Additional targets:
  • 119 (already near 127%)
  • Next: 134

Arab Engineering Industries

• New bottom signal: stop at ~293
• Targets: ~3.5 then ~4.10

Alcoyote (trading opportunity)

• Testing peak again
• Range described around:
  • below 440 and above a “five-period level”
• Key support:
  • “61% level” around 475
• Resistance / target tied to “five-period level”
  • Range cited: 51 to 45, then “6 pounds”
• Stop-loss logic (example risk control): ~64

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Example “Opportunity” Identification Rules (Trade Selection)

Common selection criteria mentioned include:

• Volume confirmation
  • “Historical volume”
  • “Strong volume on rise”
• Moving-average tests
  • 20-day / 200-day as primary anchors
• Pattern break confirmations
  • Examples: symmetrical triangle, falling wedge, ascending triangle
• Liquidity sector alignment
  • Non-banking financial services as a liquidity beneficiary

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Disclaimers / Governance Note

The meeting is private regarding securities and bonds.

The company states it is only responsible for validity of the information and not liable for actions taken based on it.

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Presenters / Sources

• Ahmed Saad — Head Trading (main presenter)