Video summary

TTrades Playbook | Fractal Model Fundamentals (TTFM)

Main summary

Key takeaways

Finance

Finance-focused summary (Fractal Model Playbook: Hourly + 5-min aligned to Daily)

Core market/price framework (used for intraday trade direction)

The model is built around swing points:

  • Candle 2 is always the swing low or swing high
  • Candle 1 = the candle before Candle 2
  • Candle 3 follows Candle 2
  • Candle 4 is a “continuation” candle if the trend is correct

Daily bias is required before dropping down to lower timeframes

You use daily closes to determine bias:

  • If price closes below the previous day low → expect continuation lower (bearish bias)
  • If price fails to close below the previous day low → expect reversal / bullish
  • Apply the same logic to the previous day high, but opposite:
    • Bullish continuation if it breaks/closes appropriately
    • Reversal otherwise

“State of delivery” + reversal/entry confirmation workflow (step-by-step)

  1. Step 1 (Daily): Determine one-sided bias using daily closures

    • If no daily bias → do not go to hourly timeframe

  2. Step 2 (Hourly): At the daily Candle 2 swing point

    • Look for a change in the state of delivery matching the bias:
      • Bullish swing point → bullish change
      • Bearish swing point → bearish change

  3. Step 3 (Hourly): Find a Point of Interest (POI)

    • Entry “zones” should be in the upper/lower half of the previous day’s range (depending on direction)
    • POIs are often tied to concepts like:
      • Protected lows/highs
      • Fair value gaps

  4. Step 4 (Hourly): Wait for a candle closure in the POI

    • Example behavior: price reaches a POI (e.g., fair value gap), then sweeps and closes back in/out as a reversal signal

  5. Step 5 (5-minute): Confirm reversal/continuation by looking for

    • A change in state of delivery on the 5-minute
    • Only after this confirmation do entries become valid

  6. Step 6 (Entry/Targets):

    • Entry: on the 5-minute confirmation, often “on the close”
    • Stop placement:
      • Commonly on a protected low/high or the low/high of the manipulation leg
      • Sometimes allow extra room (e.g., “don’t want price to trade above 50% of opposing candles”)
    • Take-profit (TP):
      • Frequently targeting 2R
      • Alternatively, using a standard deviation approach (mentioned once), such as -1 standard deviation from a manipulation leg
      • Also recommends using higher-timeframe targets to improve R:R

Explicit risk/reward and performance metrics

  • Stop/TP structure: target at least 2R
  • Reasoning stated:
    • If win rate is >34%, aiming for minimum 2R can be break-even or profitable
  • Backtesting results (from the creator’s session):
    • 80% win rate
    • 2.79R
    • Note: performance is based on only 5 trades, and the creator cautions that with more trades the win rate would likely be lower.

Key instruments / tickers mentioned

  • Gold (used in one of the examples)
  • No other specific tickers/ETFs/commodities are explicitly named (beyond “gold”).

Key numbers and concrete examples/recommendations

  • Target metric: 2R (minimum)
  • Standard deviation method (example concept):
    • Target described as negative one standard deviation (-1 SD) from a manipulation leg (concept described, not with exact SD numeric values)
  • Risk management caution:
    • If the POI isn’t respected (example where the setup fails), or if entry is taken before the intended expansion behavior, the trade can stop out.
  • Higher-timeframe target suggestion:
    • Use an hourly target instead of a lower-timeframe target for better R:R
    • Numeric example cited: hourly target puts the trade at 5.63R (as stated in the video)

Disclosures / disclaimers

  • The provided subtitles/summary mention no explicit “financial advice / not financial advice” disclaimer.

Presenters / sources

  • Presenter: “TT Trades” (referenced via “TTrades Playbook” and the playbook name “t trades” / code “trades”)

Original video