I might SELL this Stock‼️

Summary

The presenter reviews positions in Salesforce, ServiceNow, Netflix, AMD, and Meta, focusing on whether to take profits, buy more, or hold through near-term volatility. His central themes are valuation versus growth, earnings and cash-flow quality, and patience with long-term investments. Figures below are those cited in the video.

Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW)

The presenter reports public-account gains of $48,000 on Salesforce and $65,000 on ServiceNow, with his Salesforce position valued at about $257,000. He says he bought both companies in the first half of 2026. Cited profit margins are about 23% for Salesforce and 53.5% for ServiceNow.

Salesforce

• Expected revenue growth is 12% in the upcoming quarter, 10% in the following quarter, and below 10% after that.
• The presenter considers these expectations modest and says growth of 12–13% would be a positive surprise. He sees potential in Salesforce’s AI business, though he says it has not yet become a significant revenue source.
• Forward P/E is 18, falling to 14 two years out.
• Plan: Hold. He says he is not tempted to sell and expects long-term double-digit growth.

ServiceNow

• Expected revenue growth is 20%, then 22%, followed by slightly below 20% and 18%. The presenter says growth of 25% or more could reinforce its status as a leading SaaS stock, but warns that high expectations make it riskier.
• Forward P/E is about 50, falling to 25 two years out; trailing P/E has approached 100.
• Plan: He is tempted to sell some shares and use the position as an “ATM,” despite remaining positive on the company. He cites an approximately 55% gain and says his original aim was a 2–3x return over 3–5 years, so the gain arrived ahead of schedule.
• He sees other stocks with better potential relative to downside risk and believes Salesforce may overtake ServiceNow during 2027–2029.

Netflix (NFLX)

The presenter describes Netflix as a volatile stock, citing a five-year move from roughly $70 to $20, up to $130, then down to $65. He also recalls a split-adjusted decline from over $4 to $0.80 in 2012.

He recounts the 2011 60% price increase for customers using both DVD and streaming, the proposed DVD spinoff Qwikster, subscriber cancellations, and concerns about domestic growth and content costs.

Recent financial results cited:

• Revenue rose from $11.5 billion to nearly $12.9 billion year over year; growth slowed from 17% to about 12%.
• Operating profit increased from $3.2 billion to $4.4 billion; operating margin rose from 28.2% to 34.6%.
• Net income rose from $2.5 billion to $3.6 billion; diluted EPS increased from $0.59 to $0.87.
• Operating cash flow increased from $2.8 billion to $3.1 billion; free cash flow increased from $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion.
• The company reduced its share count, has more than $8 billion in cash, and has $29 billion in shareholder equity.

The presenter says Netflix had no major viral hit in 2026, but considers its growth without one impressive. He describes the business as having a strong brand, manageable finances, and weaker, more indebted competitors. He also sees possible future opportunities in sports rights and advertising.

He cites a forward P/E of about 17–18 and EPS growth above 40%, calling the shares attractively valued. He compares the company favorably with criteria associated with Warren Buffett, while acknowledging that this is his own hypothetical assessment.

• Plan: His public-account position is about $136,000, and he wants to build it to roughly $250,000 or more. He would welcome lower prices in the short term to add shares.
• He contrasts Netflix with PayPal (PYPL), where he says he recorded a $10,000 short-term gain but a $9,600 long-term loss. He argues Netflix has stronger competitive positioning than PayPal had against Apple and Google.

AMD and semiconductor spending

The presenter reports a $46,000 gain on AMD in a public account and a position valued at $1.127 million.

He says market worries about an AI bubble and chip spending can shift quickly. He points to comments attributed to Elon Musk at a SpaceX call that SpaceX’s capital spending could double this quarter. Musk also discussed possible SpaceX revenue of $500 billion to $1 trillion within a year or two. The presenter doubts SpaceX will reach those figures but says the comments could change sentiment about future industry spending.

He says semiconductor shares rose, naming AMD, Nvidia, and Micron (MU). AMD revenue expectations cited are:

• Upcoming quarter: $13.08 billion, with the highest analyst estimate at $14 billion.
• Following quarter: consensus of $16 billion from 38 analysts, with the highest estimate at $17.6 billion.

The presenter says Meta’s product referred to as “Muse” could be a major opportunity if successful, and that AMD could benefit because he expects it to run substantially on AMD chips. He notes that the product’s user and revenue potential are uncertain.

He predicts AMD could exceed $1,000 in the next few quarters, from a cited price of $552, and believes it could pass $1,000 over the next few years. He also gives $552 to $852 in 60 days as an example of the kind of move he thinks AMD can make.

• Caution and plan: Despite his bullish view, he says he will not buy more shares or call options simply to chase a possible short-term surge. He already has large exposure and says he will hold rather than get greedy.
• He characterizes AMD as a high-momentum opportunity, including for investors trying to catch up with the S&P 500, while noting the substantial volatility risk.
• He contrasts AMD’s potential volatility with Nvidia, citing Nvidia at about $220 versus over $200 the prior year and arguing it may be less likely to make a comparable short-term jump.

Meta (META)

The presenter reports a 610% gain on Meta over time and nearly $600,000 in profit, while noting that this excludes other gains he has made in the stock.

He gives Meta a “D” grade for its latest results, despite revenue growth:

• Revenue: +26% year over year.
• Cost of sales: +45%; R&D: +32%; marketing and sales: +17%; administrative costs: +323%.
• He says $9.9 billion of the administrative-cost amount was related to government fines concerning teen issues.
• Total costs and expenses: +68%.
• Operating profit fell 37%, from $20.5 billion to below $13 billion; pretax profit fell 40%.
• He says a roughly $19 billion income-tax assessment affected the prior-year comparison.

He argues that AI spending is pressuring margins and that depreciation will become more significant over the next one to two years. In his view, spending could worsen before results improve.

He sees “Muse” as a possible new commercial business for Meta. Citing comments from Mark Zuckerberg, he says shopping is already its most popular use case and the average transaction is $200. The possibility that it could generate more revenue per user than Facebook or Instagram is presented as uncertain.

• Outlook and risk: He considers Meta a strong long-term company but expects near-term uncertainty. His personal trading-range estimate is roughly $575–$775, with a possible retreat to around $500 after rallies.
• He says costs—not revenue—are the main near-term concern and that investors may need to tolerate one to two years of weaker performance while focusing on a longer, roughly five-year horizon.
• He says he has held Meta in his public account since 2018 and is willing to accept periods of stagnation in a long-term position.

Other stock mentioned

• RH: The presenter notes that the stock rose 18.5% in the prior week and mentions a $4,400 gain that day. No detailed valuation or investment plan is provided.

Methodologies and investing framework

• Growth stocks: Compare expected growth with valuation. Higher growth expectations and elevated P/E multiples can leave less room for disappointment, as the presenter argues is the case with ServiceNow.
• Potential value investments: Consider business understanding, brand strength, competitive position, leadership, balance sheet, profitability, and price relative to intrinsic value. The presenter applies this framework to Netflix.
• Position management: Consider whether gains have arrived ahead of the original investment timeline, whether the risk/reward has changed, and whether proceeds could be redeployed into better opportunities. He applies this to ServiceNow but not Salesforce.
• Long-term holdings: Separate temporary weakness from the long-term business case, while recognizing that high spending and depreciation may weigh on near-term margins. He applies this to Meta.
• Volatile opportunities: Avoid adding leverage or options solely because of a possible short-term price spike. The presenter says he will not buy AMD calls or increase his AMD position for that reason.

Assets and instruments mentioned

• Stocks: AMD, ServiceNow (NOW), Salesforce (CRM), Netflix (NFLX), Meta (META), RH, Nvidia (NVDA), Micron (MU), PayPal (PYPL), Apple, Google, Facebook, and Instagram’s parent Meta.
• Other companies and platforms: SpaceX (private company), OpenAI, TikTok, YouTube, and Venmo.
• Index: S&P 500.
• Investment instruments discussed: Common shares and AMD call options. No bonds, ETFs, or commodities are discussed.

Disclosures and sources

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the subtitles.
• The presenter promotes 1000X Stocks software and a paid subscription/member offer, including a Halloween sale.
• Presenter: Jeremy Lefebvre, of the Financial Education channel.
• Sources referenced: Company earnings/results and analyst estimates, comments attributed to Elon Musk at a SpaceX call, comments attributed to Mark Zuckerberg, and Warren Buffett’s investing principles.