Video summary
5 STOCKS I’M BUYING AS MARKET CRASHES!📉
Main summary
Key takeaways
Market / Macro Backdrop
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Broad risk-off day (Friday):
- S&P 500 (via SPY): down about 1%
- Dow: down about 0.25%, but hit all-time highs around 51,660
- NASDAQ (Q / “Q’s”): down about ~2% to 2.4%, and discussed as being roughly 2.5–3% off highs
- Russell: down about 1.5% (noted around 28.90)
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Volatility: VIX up > 5% (“creeping up”)
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Crypto / commodities:
- Bitcoin: down ~5%
- Gold: down
- Silver: down ~6%
- Oil: also down
-
Chart framing:
- Despite the selloff, it’s characterized as a “healthy pullback” within an existing uptrend.
- Price is described as pulling toward the 180 moving average (4-hour chart) for SPY and the Q’s.
Explicit Investing Ideas / Recommendations (Tactical)
General approach
- Treat these as trades intended to get in and out over the next couple of weeks (especially around the SpaceX IPO), not long-term “buy and hold.”
- Use dollar-cost averaging (DCA) / staged entries for high-volatility names.
- Caution: “Falling knife” / sector hype risk
- Space stocks may be overvalued
- There could be a sharp pullback after IPO hype fades (possibly weeks to a couple months)
- Emphasis on being nimble and avoiding getting “caught holding bags.”
Space / Space-Sector Momentum Play (Sector Beta)
Theme: “SpaceX IPO”
- Expected to create bullish sentiment for the space sector.
Tealment / ETF idea
- NASA — Teucrium Space Innovators ETF
- Said to have ~6% to 10% allocation to SpaceX (pre-IPO)
- Referenced move: ~$46 to ~$33 (about -26% over the past two weeksish)
- Recommendation: consider as a buy-the-dip opportunity within a momentum trade, not as a long-term investment.
Individual space stocks (trade ideas)
- RDW — Redwire
- Down ~10% on the day
- Entry zones discussed: high teens / mid-to-high teens
- Mentions missing $18, seeing ~$22, then ~$19
- ASTS — (referred to as “AS”)
- Back under $100
- Down ~8.5%, near the 180 moving average (4-hour)
- Framed as another potential add during short-term weakness
Stock-Specific Picks (Dip-Buy Candidates)
1) MU — Micron Technology
- Framing: “decent buy” / “great buy” if memory/AI chip momentum continues.
- Price / drawdown references:
- Trading around ~$9.30
- Mentioned as down ~56% (context suggests from a higher prior level)
- Technical levels mentioned:
- Claimed to have taken out the 50 moving average around ~$9.70–$9.80
- Possible downside “window” discussed: ~$7.50–$8.00 (not expected, but identified as a potential destination)
- Suggested more favorable entry zone: ~$8.50–$9.00 (“great buy within the breakout”)
- Prior pullback example:
- “Last time” (mid-May): about $8.20 down to ~$6.50 (roughly ~20% drawdown)
- Earnings timeline:
- Earnings in less than 3 weeks, specifically June 24 (aftermarket earnings noted)
- Upside framing:
- Mentions bullish targets (references ~$13.50 / $16.00; exact formatting unclear), calling MU a “buy all day” on dips.
2) LRCX — Lam Research
- Mentioned as potentially adding more.
- Down about ~4–5% on the day
- Chart described as still looking great
3) HOOD — Robinhood
- Down about ~4% on the day
- Critical support highlighted around ~$80–$82
4) C — Circle Internet Group
- If it falls further, buying considered.
- Currently “back to ~$80” and described as free-falling
- Buy interest level: ~$60 to $70
- Claimed historical behavior:
- Rallied from ~$60–$80 toward ~$130–$140 after pumps
- Risk/reward improved in $60–$80 (per the view), tied to a weak crypto tape.
Methodology / Framework (Step-by-Step)
-
Top-down market read:
- Check indices and volatility (S&P/Dow/NASDAQ/Russell, VIX)
- Determine if pullback is “healthy”
- Look for price approaching key technical areas like the 180 moving average (4-hour)
-
Trade selection:
- Focus on names tied to:
- AI / memory / semis
- the SpaceX IPO theme
- Focus on names tied to:
-
Entry tactic:
- Buy pullbacks toward moving averages/support (e.g., MU’s 50 MA break)
- Use DCA if “falling knife” conditions persist
-
Time horizon management:
- For space names/ETFs: aim to trade into/out of the IPO window over weeks
- Re-evaluate after IPO hype cools (weeks to a couple months) anticipating a possible sector drawdown
Key Macro Data: U.S. Jobs (Fed Implications)
- Non-farm payrolls: +172,000 in May
- Reported as far above estimate (~80,000)
- April revised to ~179K
- Unemployment rate: 4.3% (steady)
- Earnings (average hourly earnings):
- 3.4% y/y
- Monthly increase referenced as ~0.3% (format unclear, but both monthly and y/y stated)
- Household survey / labor force:
- Employed roles up ~149,000
- Labor force participation rate 61.8%
- Broader unemployment measure (including discouraged/part-time for economic reasons): 8.1% (edged lower)
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Sector job gains (monthly):
- Leisure & hospitality: ~70,000
- Local government: ~55,000
- Healthcare: ~35,000 (near average)
- Social assistance: ~12,000
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Interpretation / Fed stance (explicit):
- Stronger jobs data but no inflationary threats should reduce odds of near-term policy tightening
- Rate hikes are characterized as not desired
- Rate cuts are suggested to not be near-term
Performance Metrics / Levels Referenced
-
Indices (day move):
- ~1% S&P
- ~0.25% Dow
- ~2–2.4% NASDAQ
- ~1.5% Russell
-
Drawdowns / declines mentioned:
- Q’s: -2.5% to -3% from highs (approx. 748 → 725)
- MU: cited as down “almost ___” to ~940, stated ~13% down (plus earlier ~56% context)
- NASA ETF: -26% over ~two weeks
- RDW: -10% on the day
- ASTS: -8.5%
- Bitcoin: -5%; Silver: -6% (gold and oil also down)
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Volatility: VIX up >5%
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Technical references:
- 180 moving average (4-hour) on SPY and Q’s (also mentioned for ASTS)
- 50 moving average for MU around ~$9.70–$9.80
- Robinhood support: ~$80–$82
Disclosures / Cautions
- No explicit “not financial advice” line appears in the subtitles.
- Multiple cautions were emphasized:
- Space names are tricky and can remain a fast-moving “falling knife.”
- They are not positioned as long-term investments.
- Main risk highlighted: post-IPO hype fade.
- Viewers are repeatedly told to do their own research.
Tickers / Instruments Mentioned
Indices / ETFs / macro
- SPY
- “Q’s” (NASDAQ-related)
- VIX
- NASA — Teucrium Space Innovators ETF
Stocks
- MU — Micron
- RDW — Redwire
- ASTS (referred to as “AS”)
- LRCX — Lam Research
- HOOD — Robinhood
- C — Circle Internet Group
- Plus general mention of semi AI stocks, memory stocks, and space sector
- SpaceX referenced (not a public ticker)
Crypto / commodities
- Bitcoin
- Gold
- Silver
- Oil
Presenters / Sources
- Presenter: unclear from subtitles (single speaker/YouTuber; branded references like Patreon and stocksurfest).
- Named external source: Gus Foucher, Chief Economist at PNC, quoted regarding the jobs report.