U.S & PLAN TO STRIKE IRAN THIS WEEKEND, IRAN TO STRIKE BACK, YEMEN-SAUDI WAR w/ Col Anthony Aguilar

Summary

Host Suleiman and guest Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar discuss the possibility of renewed U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, which Aguilar says could begin within days. He argues that the risk is high because the U.S. has reportedly expanded its target list to include energy facilities, ports, oil refineries, water-treatment systems, and other infrastructure—not only military or nuclear sites. He warns that attacks on civilian infrastructure could cause substantial civilian casualties and trigger a wider regional conflict.

Aguilar says Iran has little reason to trust diplomacy after recent strikes and stalled negotiations, and predicts its response would be more forceful than before. He points to Iran’s missiles, drones, cruise missiles, and anti-ship capabilities, and argues that U.S. and Israeli defenses, along with stocks of interceptors and precision weapons, could be strained in a prolonged exchange. He also warns of the danger of escalation toward nuclear use, while saying that extensive conventional attacks on infrastructure could themselves cause catastrophic harm.

The guest interprets reported U.S. personnel evacuations from bases in Oman, Qatar, and elsewhere as a response to the danger of Iranian retaliation, rather than a sign that Washington is leaving the region. He says many regional bases are vulnerable to missile attacks and considers them legitimate military targets because they support U.S. operations. He also argues that Israel’s political calculations—particularly Prime Minister Netanyahu’s electoral and legal pressures—could make escalation more likely, and that the U.S. may be unable or unwilling to restrain Israel.

The discussion broadens to Yemen and Saudi Arabia. Suleiman reports explosions in Khamis Mushait and Abha that he attributes to Yemeni missiles. He also cites a Saudi Defense Ministry warning that gatherings in Houthi-controlled areas could be treated as legitimate targets. Aguilar criticizes such threats and describes attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure as deliberate and unlawful, including his claims about strikes in Gaza and a school in Manama. These are the guest’s assertions and opinions in the interview.

Both speakers express alarm that attacks on energy infrastructure could disrupt trade and food supplies, with consequences far beyond the region. Aguilar argues that the conflict is being driven by an absence of diplomatic compromise, particularly over Israeli actions in Gaza and Lebanon, and says he sees little prospect of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough.

Presenters and Contributors

• Suleiman — Host
• Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar — Guest and military commentator