‫‫🚀تحلیل جفت ارز (EURUSD) 28 اردیبهشت 1405-

Finance / Market Focus

• Asset / Instrument: EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar)
• Timeframes referenced: Weekly and Daily (also 4-hour and 1-hour for setup signals)

Key Market Observations (Price Action / Structure)

• Last week’s decline produced the largest bearish weekly candle in ~2 months.
• The weekly “FA zone” was filled, and price is now below it.
• Start of week:
  • Opened with a bearish gap
  • Monday saw an upward move and the gap was filled
• Throughout the rest of the week:
  • The US dollar strengthened continuously
  • This drove the pair downward

Current structure

• Formation of the “InBalance zone”
• Daily “EFG” at 1.1683

Today (first trading day of the week)

• After a bearish gap, price moved up as the dollar weakened
• Price has not yet fully filled the daily “FPG” area

Macroeconomic / Calendar & Drivers

• No important economic events for Euro and Dollar currencies today.
• Upcoming events:
  • Wednesday: FMC meeting (referenced in subtitles; appears to be a central-bank/FOMC-type event)
  • Thursday: French and German PMI reports

Currency strength commentary (weekly)

• The US dollar was the strongest currency over the past week
• Today: the dollar shows weakening vs. the euro
• The daily chart also notes the dollar weakened significantly in the last few hours

Technical / Tactical Outlook

4-hour timeframe

• After reacting to a “wide area,” price showed sharp downward movement
• Price broke a previous main bottom downward
• Medium-term sentiment is bearish

Short-term view

• The market is in a short-term correction
• Expectation: price may rise toward:
  • Internal liquidity
  • The previous low (used as targets within the short-term move)

Trading-style conditional plan

• If price forms a local signal (example given: 1-hour EFG), it can move toward higher targets
• Caution: with the medium-term bearish trend in place, any upside is expected to be limited (not “very strong” or “long-term”)

Explicit Numbers / Levels

• Daily EFG: 1.1683

Mentioned Methodology / Framework (as described)

• Use of market-structure zones and signals:
  • FA zone (weekly)
  • InBalance zone (current structure)
  • Daily EFG
  • FPG area (not fully filled yet)
  • Search for local signals such as 1-hour EFG
• Timeframe alignment:
  • Medium-term bias: weekly/4-hour
  • Short-term corrective targets and entries: daily/1-hour

Risk / Cautions

The presenter explicitly cautions that, despite potential short-term upside, the overall medium-term trend is bearish, so rallies are not expected to be strong or long-lasting.

Disclosures / Notes

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the subtitles.

Tickers / Assets Mentioned

• EUR/USD only (no other tickers/ETFs/commodities mentioned).

Presenter / Source

• Presenter: Not explicitly named in the subtitles.