Summary of "📒 پیش بینی نمادهای اتریوم (ETHUSDT) و بایننس کوین (BNBUSDT) — نوسان ETH و BNB زیر فشار نقدینگی"
Summary of Finance-Specific Content
Assets and Instruments Mentioned
- Ethereum (ETHUSDT)
- Binance Coin (BNBUSDT)
- Ethereum ETF funds
- Technical indicators:
- Order blocks
- Liquidity zones
- Fibonacci levels
- CHOCH (Change of Character)
- BPR (Break Pullback Range)
- FVG (Fair Value Gap)
- Swing Freeler Pattern
- IT Killzone Tiff Lab indicator
- Fear and Greed Index
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Analysis
Current Price Action
- After hitting an order block range and collecting liquidity, ETH is showing upward momentum but remains under pressure.
- Price broke a key level, entered an order block range, and formed a CHOCH level (Change of Character).
- If ETH breaks the CHOCH level with momentum, it may continue upwards toward the 4-hour BPR range.
- If price only collects liquidity on the buy side and closes within the BPR range, this range can be used as a trade entry point.
Risk Management
- Stop loss placed behind the swing low or BPR range.
Short-term Correction
- Possible downward move within the FVG range around 2974 down to 2942.
- Buy entry possible near 2942 after confirming weakness in downward trend.
- Stop loss behind FVG range or swing low at approximately 2890.
- Targets: Swing high at 3067 or BPR range at 3145.
Timeframe Insights
- 1-hour chart: ETH is in an ascending channel but currently in a short-term downward correction phase.
- Key support order block levels: 3004, 2952 (50% level), and possibly down to 2833 if selling pressure increases.
- 15-minute chart:
- Accumulation in Asian session
- Liquidity collection and manipulation in London session
- Potential upward distribution in New York session
- Key levels: Break above 2986 could lead to upward continuation; downside targets are 2959 and 2931.
Technical Tools
- Fibonacci 61.8% level is critical for identifying entry points.
- Use of liquidity zones, order blocks, and swing levels for trade entries and exits.
Binance Coin (BNBUSDT) Analysis
Price Action
- Aggressive upward move on 4-hour timeframe, forming a CP (likely “Continuation Pattern”) in the uptrend.
- After a short-term dip, price entered order block at 885, rejected, then moved up collecting liquidity at 900.
- Closing within the range; weakness in upward trend could signal sell entry using strategy #6 and Swing Freeler Pattern.
Risk Management
- Stop loss (“Lasso Stop”) placed behind swing lows.
1-hour Timeframe
- Price moved upwards, faced rejection, had a false breakout, then re-entered rejection block and broke bull trendline.
- Support targets: Upward trendline and large 50 order block at 891.
- If downward momentum fades, next order block support between 881-876.
15-minute Timeframe
- Accumulation in Asian session, upward move in London, currently pulling back to bullish order block in New York session.
- Key levels:
- Break and close below 894 could lead to further downside targeting 887 order block area.
- Close above 902 with bullish candle could continue upward trend.
- Close above 904 targets 915 to 925.
Market and Macro Context
Ethereum ETF Flows
- Net outflow of $63 million yesterday.
- Over past 2 days, net flow was $117 million, indicating mixed market sentiment.
Fear and Greed Index
- Currently at 37 (fear zone).
- If index rises to 40-45 (neutral), market sentiment could improve.
- A drop below current levels could increase selling pressure on crypto, including ETH and BNB.
Methodology / Trading Framework
- Identify key order block ranges and liquidity zones.
- Observe price reaction to these zones (rejection, accumulation, distribution).
- Use CHOCH levels and break of key levels as signals for trend continuation or reversal.
- Use Fibonacci retracement levels (especially 61.8%) to time entries.
- Confirm momentum on multiple timeframes (15-min, 1-hour, 4-hour).
- Place stop loss behind swing lows or order block ranges.
- Use risk-reward ratio of 1:2 for targets.
- Monitor ETF flows and sentiment indices for macro context.
- Adjust strategy based on strength/weakness in momentum and candle closes relative to key levels.
Key Numbers and Levels
Ethereum (ETH)
- FVG range: ~2974
- Buy zone: ~2942
- Stop loss: ~2890
- Targets: 3067 (swing high), 3145 (BPR range)
- Order blocks: 3004, 2952, 2833
- 15-min resistance/support: 2986, 2959, 2931
Binance Coin (BNB)
- Order block rejection: 885
- Liquidity collected: 900
- Support: 891, 881-876
- Key break levels:
- 894 (downside)
- 902 (upside)
- 904 (upside continuation)
- Targets: 915 to 925
Disclaimers
- No explicit financial advice or guarantees mentioned.
- Analysis based on technical indicators and market sentiment.
- Users should identify their own trading strategies and manage risk accordingly.
Presenters / Sources
- Unnamed presenter providing daily technical analysis on Ethereum (ETHUSDT) and Binance Coin (BNBUSDT) on January 28.
- Use of proprietary indicators such as IT Killzone Tiff Lab indicator and Swing Freeler Pattern strategy.
Category
Finance
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