Summary of "📊 پیش بینی نماد نقره (XAGUSD) 10 بهمن 1404 — نوسان XAGUSD تحت فشار تقاضا و عرضه [تریدینگ فایندر]"
📊 پیش بینی نماد نقره (XAGUSD) 10 بهمن 1404 — نوسان XAGUSD تحت فشار تقاضا و عرضه [تریدینگ فایندر]
Assets and Instruments Mentioned
- Silver (XAGUSD)
- USD Index (DX Index)
Market Context and Price Levels
The analysis focuses on silver (XAGUSD) price movements on January 30. Key points include:
- Price recently entered the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) range, with entry at the edge of the FVG.
- Historical ceiling target: 117.73
- Stop loss: Placed behind the FVG range.
- Downward price targets (TPs) if selling:
- First TP: 104.9
- Second TP: 102.1
- Third TP: 95.53
- Current price action shows downward displacement after upward momentum, attributed to profit-taking by smart money and institutional investors.
- Price reacted to the upward trend line and the 4-hour FVG range, indicating potential for a short-term upward correction or pullback.
Technical Indicators and Timeframes
RSI Indicator
- Price has entered the oversold range.
- Bullish divergence near or inside the Ashba range could confirm buy signals.
- RSI below 22 signals continuation of downtrend with selling pressure.
1-Hour Timeframe
- Price forming a pinbar candle, indicating potential short-term downward slide within the 1-hour order block range.
- Suggested stop loss behind swing low or 4-hour FVG edge at 95.31, or behind EFG range at 94.58.
- Downside target at descending block order range level 109.6 (likely a typo or misread, possibly 99.6 or similar).
- Closing below FVG level 94.35 expected to push price lower to approximately 89.98.
- Breaking trend line could lead to pullback and bearish phase.
- Rejection from ARC candle shadow range could confirm upward trend continuation.
15-Minute Timeframe
- Price in downward phase with short-term correction.
- Potential entry into ascending order block area at 97.85.
- Selling pressure and candle close within order block range could confirm buy signal (Strategy D).
- Stop loss behind swing or range at 94.33.
- Target based on 1:1 ratio from Arbar to order block at 19.72 (likely a transcription error; possibly 97.2 or similar).
- Ryan Soldier strategy also signals buying pressure if accompanied by certain candle closes.
- Fibonacci levels:
- First order block in Fibonacci OTA range.
- 50th order block near 0.618 Fibonacci level, a key support/resistance area.
USD Index (DX Index) Analysis
- USD strength has decreased.
- Expected short-term upward correction towards consolidation range.
- Possible target up to 97.44 if strength increases.
- If strength is insufficient, price may move down to 96.82 and enter a downward phase.
Methodology / Framework Summary
- Use of Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block concepts for entry and exit points.
- Stop loss placement behind key swing lows or FVG edges.
- Use of RSI for overbought/oversold conditions and divergence signals.
- Multi-timeframe analysis (4-hour, 1-hour, 15-minute) to identify trend strength and reversals.
- Confirmation of buy/sell signals via candle patterns (e.g., pinbar, Ryan Soldier strategy).
- Use of Fibonacci retracement levels (notably 0.618) to identify critical support/resistance.
- Monitoring USD Index strength as a macro factor influencing silver price.
Key Recommendations / Cautions
- Enter sell positions if weakness in upward trend is confirmed, targeting 104.9, 102.1, and 95.53.
- Consider buy positions on pullbacks with confirmation from RSI bullish divergence and order block strategies.
- Place stop losses carefully behind swing lows or FVG edges to manage risk.
- Monitor RSI levels below 22 as potential signal for continued downtrend.
- Watch USD Index movements for broader macro influence on silver.
Disclaimers
No explicit financial advice disclaimer was stated, but the analysis is clearly technical and for informational purposes only.
Presenter / Source
Analysis provided by Trading Finder (تریدینگ فایندر).
Summary
The video provides a detailed technical forecast for silver (XAGUSD) focusing on short-term price movements using Fair Value Gaps, order blocks, RSI, and Fibonacci levels across multiple timeframes. It emphasizes careful entry and exit points with defined stop losses and targets, while also considering USD Index strength as a macroeconomic factor. The overall strategy balances potential buy and sell positions depending on price action confirmations and indicator signals.
Category
Finance
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